Research Units Research Programmes In focus Staff Organization Mission and Tasks History Jobs and career WSL-Führungen Contact and maps Key figures
Forest Protection SLF avalanche warnings Natural hazards warnings Expertise and advice Monitoring Data sets Events Publications Library Products WSL Junior
From plans to land change: how strategic spatial planning contributes to the development of urban regions (CONCUR)
The first stage is to develop a theoretical model with the following core concepts: (1) spatial concepts as contained in strategic spatial plans, (2) key elements of governance efficiency, and (3) supra-regional development trajectories.
The second and third stages will focus on assessing the applicability of the theoretical framework by operationalizing the model and subsequently testing it in the urban regions of Zurich, Bucharest, and Austin, Texas.
The envisaged results may well transform our understanding of the impact planning can have in urban regions and should lead to more realistic applications of planning intentions and plan implementation in land-change models. These models should consequently improve and are expected to become truly useful for decision-making and support politicians in their quest to guide change in sustainable directions.
Period of the project: 2016 - 2020
Funding body: Swiss National Science Foundation - ERC TBS Consolidator Grant
Principal investigator: Anna M. Hersperger
Development of a theoretical model
The development of the theoretical model will be achieved in the following specific aims:
The theoretical model (persued with Aims 1-3) describes the core components and their relationships regarding the contribution of strategic spatial planning to land change. A systematic application of the theoretical model in the context of land chance modelling requires operationalization tools to describe and measure the components and their relationships. Since most land change models work with pixel maps, the basic approach for an operationalized model relies on a value (V) for the contribution of planning for each pixel.
Working hypothesis: standardized procedures can generate the necessary data about the core concepts and their interrelationships in any urban region
For each pixel, a Value (V) will be determined as follows:
V ji = f (A, B, Cij)
The factors describe:
A – regional governance performance
B – the region`s trajectory of change
C – the value of planning intentions for pixel i.
A qualitative evaluation will test the value of the theoretical model. The aim is to test how well the theoretical model achieves the overall goal (i.e., to explain planning`s contribution to land change) while taking into account the realities of planning in practice.
The case studies are chosen to represent three distinct planning cultures and institutional settings:
The workshop includes public lectures on Thursday, 9th November (09:00-15:00) by eight international experts. These experts will lecture on issues concerning strategic spatial planning, territorial governance and land-change science.
· Frank Moulaert, The Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium
· Gertrud Jørgensen, University of Copenhagen, Denmark
· Raine Mäntysalo, Aalto University, Finland
· Jasper van Vliet, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands
· Peter Schmitt, Stockholm University, Sweden
· Peter Austin, City of Oslo, Norway
· Thomas Houet, University Rennes, France
· Peter Verburg, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands