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Natalie Zurbriggen
- Personal Homepage
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| Organisational unit: |
Landscape Dynamics
Dynamic Macroecology
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| Phone: |
+41 44 7392 817
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| Fax: |
+41 44 7392 215 |
| Room: |
Bi HL E 28 |
| E-Mail: |
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| Address: |
Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL Zürcherstrasse 111 8903 Birmensdorf
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- 2008-2013: PhD student WSL/ETHZ: "Avalanche disturbance and regeneration in mountain forests under climate change: experimental and modeling approaches"; supervised by Dr. H. Lischke (WSL Birmensdorf), Dr. P. Bebi (SLF Davos), Prof. H. Bugmann (ETH Zürich)
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- 2008: MSc, University of Bern (Diplom), with focus on vegetation
ecology. MSc thesis: "Influence of conspecific neighbourhood on growth
and nutrient status among dipterocarp trees in primary lowland rain
forest at Danum, Sabah, Malaysia"
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- 2005: Community Service Program (AFS Intercultural Programs) Forest
Nursery Center Udon Thani, Thailand, and Royal Forest Department
Thailand
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- 2004: BSc University of Bern (Vordiplom), with focus on plant physiology
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Research interests
I am interested in forest dynamics, especially how biotic processes (such as neighborhood interactions) and abiotic processes (such as disturbances) together influence the spatial patterns of tree composition and structure at multiple scales, and how these may change over time. In this respect, we can learn much from the absence of trees in certain areas, such as above alpine treelines or beyond species' ranges. I am particularly interested in how biotic and abiotic processes can be inferred from existing spatial and temporal patterns for improving (dynamic) forest modeling, and in the application of models to projecting forest dynamics in continually changing environments.
In my PhD work I focused on the following key questions:
- Which stages of a tree's life are important for limiting adult recruitment? For a tree species to move to higher altitudes with climate change, one of the earliest limiting stages is species-specific seedling survival and performance. In a field experiment at and above the current treeline I followed seedling performance of seven species over several years.
- How do limiting factors and processes, such as climate and disturbances, interact to shape the forests and treelines? This is a crucial consideration because interactions and feedbacks may affect trees near the alpine treeline differently than trees at lower elevations. I am exploring this complex interplay of forces using the dynamic and spatially-linked forest-landscape model TreeMig, with a focus on snow avalanches, and their interaction with alpine forests.
- How can feedbacks between forests and snow avalanches be represented in a dynamic and spatially explicit model? Avalanches influence forests by increasing mortality, changing species composition, and altering the spatial patterns of the treeline. Forests can also influence snow avalanches, mainly by reducing avalanche release probability, which leads to a positive feedback between them. I incorporated a dynamic and spatially explicit representation of snow avalanches into the forest-landscape model Treemig to explore several questions: How can feedback processes on different spatial and temporal scales be combined in a model? How do feedbacks interact with the changing climate? What is the range of projections for future avalanche release areas and protection forests?
Publications
- Zurbriggen N., Teich M., Nabel J.E.M.S., Bebi P., Lischke H.; Performance of alternative disturbance formulations in a spatially explicit avalanche-forest model. (in prep.) Intended for submission to Ecological Modelling
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- Zurbriggen N., Nabel J.E.M.S., Teich M., Bebi P., Lischke H.;
Explicit avalanche-forest feedback simulations improve the performance
of a coupled avalanche-forest model. (in review) Ecological Complexity
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- Zurbriggen N., Hättenschwiler S., Frei E.S., Hagedorn F., Bebi P. (2013); Performance of germinating tree seedlings below and above treeline in the Swiss Alps. Plant Ecology 214(3): 385-396
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- Nabel J.E.M.S., Zurbriggen N., Lischke H. (2013); Interannual climate variability and population density thresholds can have a substantial impact on simulated tree species’ migration. Ecological Modelling 257:88-100
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- Bebi P., Teich M., Hagedorn F., Zurbriggen N., Brunner S., Grêt-Regamey A. (2012): Veränderung von Wald und Waldleistungen in der Landschaft Davos im Zuge des Klimawandels. Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Forstwesen 163(12): 493-501.
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- Teich M., Zurbriggen N., Bartelt P., Grêt-Regamey A., Marty C., Ulrich M., Bebi P. (2012): Potential impacts of climate change on snow avalanches starting in forested terrain. Proceedings, 2012 International Snow Science Workshop, Anchorage, Alaska: 244-251.
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- Nabel J.E.M.S.,
Zurbriggen N., Lischke H. (2012): Impact of species parameter uncertainty in simulations of tree
species migration with a spatially-linked dynamic model. Proceedings, 6th International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software
(iEMSs), Leipzig, Germany.
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- Briner S.,
Bebi P., Elkin C., Zurbriggen N.,
Finger R. (2012): The impact of production and price risk on ecosystem
goods and services provision from agriculture and forestry in mountainous
regions. Proceedings, 6th International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software
(iEMSs), Leipzig, Germany.
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Conference contributions
- Zurbriggen N., Nabel J.E.M.S., Teich M., Lischke H., Bebi P., Bugmann H.K.M.: TreeMig-Aval: A spatially explicit forest-landscape model including snow avalanches. (Presentation) 42nd Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland (GfÖ), "From basic ecology to the challenges of modern society", 10.-14.September 2012, Lüneburg, Germany. Session "Ecological theory - Concepts and models"
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- Zurbriggen N., Nabel J.E.M.S., Lischke H., Teich M., Bebi P., Bugmann H.: TreeMig-Aval:
Spatially explicit snow avalanche simulation with a coupled avalanche forest landscape
model. (Poster) Final
Conference of the ECOCHANGE FP6 Project, 21-22 March 2012, Zürich, Switzerland
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- Nabel
J.E.M.S., Zurbriggen N., Lischke H.:
Impact of uncertainties in simulations of tree species migration with a
spatially linked dynamic model. (Poster J.E.M.S. Nabel) Final
Conference of the ECOCHANGE FP6 Project, 21-22 March 2012, Zürich, Switzerland
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- Zurbriggen N., Briner S., Teich M., Lischke H., Bebi P., Bugmann H.: Influence of
climatic and land-use change on feedback effects between forests and snow
avalanches in the Swiss Alps. (Presentation) 41st
Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland
(GfÖ), "Ecological Patterns, Functions, Processes", 5.-9.September
2011, Oldenburg, Germany
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- Zurbriggen N., Lischke H., Bebi P., Bugmann H.: Forest-avalanche feedbacks under
environmental changes in the Swiss Alps. (Poster) European
Geosciences Union General Assembly 2011 Vienna, Austria; 3 – 8 April 2011. Abstract online
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- Briner S., Elkin C., Zurbriggen N.: Climate and policy mediated
shifts in land-use and ecosystem services. (Poster S. Briner) CCES
Latsis Symposium 2010 "Research in Environment and
Sustainability – Insights and Conclusions", 15-17 November 2010; ETH
Zurich, Switzerland
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- Briner S.,
Zurbriggen N., Huber R.: Linking
forest-landscape and agricultural land-use models to assess climatic and
land-use change impacts on ecosystem services in mountainous regions: A
case
study in Davos. (Presentation S. Briner) Open Science Meeting of the
Global Land Project, 17-19 October 2010; Arizona State University,
Tempe USA
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- Zurbriggen N., Teich M., Lischke H., Bebi P., Bugmann H.: Effects of climatic and
land use change on avalanche-forest feedbacks in a temperature sensitive valley
of the Swiss Alps. (Poster) Global
Change and the World's Mountains - Perth 2010 Conference; Perth, UK, 26-30 September
2010. Extended abstract online (p.836)
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- Briner S.,
Zurbriggen N., Huber R.: Change of
land-use under different climate and policy scenarios: A case study in the
municipality of Davos. (Poster S. Briner) Global
Change and the World's Mountains - Perth 2010 Conference; Perth, UK, 26-30 September
2010.
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- Zurbriggen N., Lischke H., Bebi P., Bugmann H.: Modeling
feedbacks between avalanches and forests under a changing environment in
the Swiss Alps. (Presentation) IUFRO Landscape Ecology Working Group
International Conference, 21-27 September, 2010 - Bragança, Portugal
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Projects
CCES MOUNTLAND
Co-supervised MSc thesis
- Hug D. 2011, Simulating future tree species composition in abandoned chestnut orchards in southern Switzerland. Department of Forest Ecology, Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology ETH. Main supervisors: Prof. H. Bugmann, M. Conedera, H. Lischke
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