Dynamic Macroecology
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Head: Dr. Heike Lischke
The dynamic macroecology group studies different aspects of ecology on large spatial and temporal scales, from the Pleistocene to the Anthropocene, related to the question
“How do species and their traits change in space and time, particularly with global change?”
We explore
- the current and past distributions of species or functional groups and their traits and niches
- the effect of climate and other factors on biodiversity
- the spatio-temporal dynamics of plant (particularly tree) species and their ranges interacting with the environment, ecophysiology, population dynamics, species migration and climate and land-use change
- the evolution in time and geographical space of species niches and traits and biological communities and assemblages
Main methods we develop and work with
- climate (change) data scaling and provision
- dynamic ecological models
- model scaling
- statistical methods in ecology, e.g., species distribution models, phylogenetic comparative methods, trait analyses
FURTHER INFORMATION
Projects
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Publications
Kambach, S.; Lenoir, J.; Decocq, G.; Welk, E.; Seidler, G.; Dullinger, S.; Gégout, J.; Guisan, A.; Pauli, H.; Svenning, J.; Vittoz, P.; Wohlgemuth, T.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Bruelheide, H., 2019: Of niches and distributions: range size increases with niche breadth both globally and regionally but regional estimates poorly relate to global estimates. Ecography, 42, 3: 467-477. doi: 10.1111/ecog.03495
Peters, R.L.; Speich, M.; Pappas, C.; Kahmen, A.; Von Arx, G.; Graf Pannatier, E.; Steppe, K.; Treydte, K.; Stritih, A.; Fonti, P., 2019: Contrasting stomatal sensitivity to temperature and soil drought in mature alpine conifers. Plant, Cell and Environment, 42: 1674-1689. doi: 10.1111/pce.13500
Bouchet, P.J.; Townsend Peterson, A.; Zurell, D.; Dormann, C.F.; Schoeman, D.; Ross, R.E.; Snelgrove, P.; Sequeira, A.M.M.; Whittingham, M.J.; Wang, L.; Rapacciuolo, G.; Oppel, S.; Mellin, C.; Lauria, V.; Krishnakumar, P.K.; Jones, A.R.; Heinänen, S.; Heikkinen, R.K.; Gregr, E.J.; ... Yates, K.L., 2019: Better model transfers require knowledge of mechanisms. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 34, 6: 489-490. doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2019.04.006
Johnson, J.S.; Cantrell, R.S.; Cosner, C.; Hartig, F.; Hastings, A.; Rogers, H.S.; Schupp, E.W.; Shea, K.; Teller, B.J.; Yu, X.; Zurell, D.; Pufal, G., 2019: Rapid changes in seed dispersal traits may modify plant responses to global change. AoB PLANTS, 11, 3: plz020 (20 pp.). doi: 10.1093/aobpla/plz020
Brun, P.; Stamieszkin, K.; Visser, A.W.; Licandro, P.; Payne, M.R.; Kiørboe, T., 2019: Climate change has altered zooplankton-fuelled carbon export in the North Atlantic. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 3, 3: 416-423. doi: 10.1038/s41559-018-0780-3
Speich, M.J.R., 2019: Quantifying and modeling water availability in temperate forests: a review of drought and aridity indices. iForest, 12: 1-16. doi: 10.3832/ifor2934-011
Rumpf, S.B.; Hülber, K.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Dullinger, S., 2019: Elevational rear edges shifted at least as much as leading edges over the last century. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 28: 533-543. doi: 10.1111/geb.12865
Wu, Z.; Hugelius, G.; Luo, Y.; Smith, B.; Xia, J.; Fensholt, R.; Lehsten, V.; Ahlström, A., 2019: Approaching the potential of model-data comparisons of global land carbon storage. Scientific Reports, 9, 1: 3367 (10 pp.). doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-38976-y
Norberg, A.; Abrego, N.; Blanchet, F.G.; Adler, F.R.; Anderson, B.J.; Anttila, J.; Araújo, M.B.; Dallas, T.; Dunson, D.; Elith, J.; Foster, S.D.; Fox, R.; Franklin, J.; Godsoe, W.; Guisan, A.; O'Hara, B.; Hill, N.A.; Holt, R.D.; Hui, F.K.C.; ... Ovaskainen, O., 2019: A comprehensive evaluation of predictive performance of 33 species distribution models at species and community levels. Ecological Monographs, 89, 3: e01370 (24 pp.). doi: 10.1002/ecm.1370
Kolyaie, S.; Treier, U.A.; Watmough, G.R.; Madsen, B.; Bøcher, P.K.; Psomas, A.; Bösch, R.; Normand, S., 2019: Transferability and the effect of colour calibration during multi-image classification of Arctic vegetation change. Polar Biology, 42, 7: 1227-1239. doi: 10.1007/s00300-019-02491-7
Wang, J.; Fu, X.; Zhang, Z.; Li, M.; Cao, H.; Zhou, X.; Ni, H., 2019: Responses of soil respiration to nitrogen addition in the Sanjiang Plain wetland, northeastern China. PLoS One, 14, 1: e0211456 (12 pp.). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0211456
Zurell, D.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Gross, H.; Baltensweiler, A.; Sattler, T.; Wüest, R.O., 2019: Testing species assemblage predictions from stacked and joint species distribution models. Journal of Biogeography, doi: 10.1111/jbi.13608
Jakoby, O.; Lischke, H.; Wermelinger, B., 2019: Climate change alters elevational phenology patterns of the European spruce bark beetle (Ips typographus). Global Change Biology, doi: 10.1111/gcb.14766
Aslan, C.; Beckman, N.G.; Rogers, H.S.; Bronstein, J.; Zurell, D.; Hartig, F.; Shea, K.; Pejchar, L.; Neubert, M.; Poulsen, J.; HilleRisLambers, J.; Miriti, M.; Loiselle, B.; Effiom, E.; Zambrano, J.; Schupp, G.; Pufal, G.; Johnson, J.; Bullock, J.M.; ... Zhou, Y., 2019: Employing plant functional groups to advance seed dispersal ecology and conservation. AoB PLANTS, 11, 2: plz006 (14 pp.). doi: 10.1093/aobpla/plz006
Saladin, B.; Thuiller, W.; Graham, C.H.; Lavergne, S.; Maiorano, L.; Salamin, N.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2019: Environment and evolutionary history shape phylogenetic turnover in European tetrapods. Nature Communications, 10, 1: 249 (9 pp.). doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-08232-4
Thuiller, W.; Guéguen, M.; Renaud, J.; Karger, D.N.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2019: Uncertainty in ensembles of global biodiversity scenarios. Nature Communications, 10, 1: 1446 (9 pp.). doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-09519-w
Boch, S.; Bedolla, A.; Ecker, K.T.; Ginzler, C.; Graf, U.; Küchler, H.; Küchler, M.; Nobis, M.P.; Holderegger, R.; Bergamini, A., 2019: Threatened and specialist species suffer from increased wood cover and productivity in Swiss steppes. Flora, 258: 151444 (9 pp.). doi: 10.1016/j.flora.2019.151444
Lehsten, V.; Mischurow, M.; Lindström, E.; Lehsten, D.; Lischke, H., 2019: LPJ-GM 1.0: simulating migration efficiently in a dynamic vegetation model. Geoscientific Model Development, 12, 3: 893-908. doi: 10.5194/gmd-12-893-2019
Araújo, M.B.; Anderson, R.P.; Barbosa, A.M.; Beale, C.M.; Dormann, C.F.; Early, R.; Garcia, R.A.; Guisan, A.; Maiorano, L.; Naimi, B.; O’Hara, R.B.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Rahbek, C., 2019: Standards for distribution models in biodiversity assessments. Science Advances, 5, 1: eaat4858 (10 pp.). doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aat4858
Ahmadi, M.; Hemami, M.; Kaboli, M.; Malekian, M.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2019: Extinction risks of a Mediterranean neo-endemism complex of mountain vipers triggered by climate change. Scientific Reports, 9, 1: 6332 (12 pp.). doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-42792-9
Abdi, A.M.; Boke-Olén, N.; Jin, H.; Eklundh, L.; Tagesson, T.; Lehsten, V.; Ardö, J., 2019: First assessment of the plant phenology index (PPI) for estimating gross primary productivity in African semi-arid ecosystems. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 78: 249-260. doi: 10.1016/j.jag.2019.01.018
Rickli, C.; Bebi, P.; Graf, F.; Moos, C., 2019: Shallow landslides: retrospective analysis of the protective effects of forest and conclusions for prediction. In: Wu, W. (eds), 2019: Recent advances in geotechnical research. Cham, Springer. 175-185. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-89671-7_15
Karger, D.N.; Kessler, M.; Conrad, O.; Weigelt, P.; Kreft, H.; König, C.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2019: Why tree lines are lower on islands—climatic and biogeographic effects hold the answer. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 28, 6: 839-850. doi: 10.1111/geb.12897
Righetti, D.; Vogt, M.; Gruber, N.; Psomas, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2019: Global pattern of phytoplankton diversity driven by temperature and environmental variability. Science Advances, 5, 5: eaau6253 (10 pp.). doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aau6253
Zurell, D.; Engler, J.O., 2019: Ecological niche modelling. In: Dunn, P.O.; Pape Møller, A. (eds), 2019: Effects of climate change on birds. sine loco, Oxford University Press. 60-73. doi: 10.1093/oso/9780198824268.001.0001
Rumpf, S.B.; Hülber, K.; Wessely, J.; Willner, W.; Moser, D.; Gattringer, A.; Klonner, G.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Dullinger, S., 2019: Extinction debts and colonization credits of non-forest plants in the European Alps. Nature Communications, 10: 4293 (9 pp.). doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-12343-x
Ottmer, B.; Semadeni, S.; Zimmermann, N., 2019: Handeln, bevor es zu spät ist. WSL-Magazin Diagonal, 2019, 1: 16-19.
Ottmer, B.; Semadeni, S.; Zimmermann, N., 2019: Agir avant qu’il ne soit trop tard. Magazine du WSL Diagonale, 2019, 1: 16-19.
Ottmer, B.; Semadeni, S.; Zimmermann, N., 2019: Act before it is too late. WSL magazine Diagonal, 2019, 1: 16-19.
Breiner, F.T.; Nobis, M.P.; Bergamini, A.; Guisan, A., 2018: Optimizing ensembles of small models for predicting the distribution of species with few occurrences. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 9, 4: 802-808. doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12957
Dormann, C.F.; Bobrowski, M.; Dehling, D.M.; Harris, D.J.; Hartig, F.; Lischke, H.; Moretti, M.D.; Pagel, J.; Pinkert, S.; Schleuning, M.; Schmidt, S.I.; Sheppard, C.S.; Steinbauer, M.J.; Zeuss, D.; Kraan, C., 2018: Biotic interactions in species distribution modelling: 10 questions to guide interpretation and avoid false conclusions. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 27: 1004-1016. doi: 10.1111/geb.12759
Xu, Z.; Li, M.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Li, S.; Li, H.; Ren, H.; Sun, H.; Han, X.; Jiang, Y.; Jiang, L., 2018: Plant functional diversity modulates global environmental change effects on grassland productivity. Journal of Ecology, 106, 5: 1941-1951. doi: 10.1111/1365-2745.12951
Babst, F.; Bodesheim, P.; Charney, N.; Friend, A.D.; Girardin, M.P.; Klesse, S.; Moore, D.J.P.; Seftigen, K.; Björklund, J.; Bouriaud, O.; Dawson, A.; DeRose, R.J.; Dietze, M.C.; Eckes, A.H.; Enquist, B.; Frank, D.C.; Mahecha, M.D.; Poulter, B.; Record, S.; ... Evans, M.E.K., 2018: When tree rings go global: challenges and opportunities for retro- and prospective insight. Quaternary Science Reviews, 197: 1-20. doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2018.07.009
Zurell, D.; Gallien, L.; Graham, C.H.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2018: Do long-distance migratory birds track their niche through seasons?. Journal of Biogeography, 45, 7: 1459-1468. doi: 10.1111/jbi.13351
Rohner, B.; Waldner, P.; Lischke, H.; Ferretti, M.; Thürig, E., 2018: Predicting individual-tree growth of central European tree species as a function of site, stand, management, nutrient, and climate effects. European Journal of Forest Research, 137: 29-44. doi: 10.1007/s10342-017-1087-7
Chalmandrier, L.; Albouy, C.; Descombes, P.; Sandel, B.; Faurby, S.; Svenning, J.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Pellissier, L., 2018: Comparing spatial diversification and meta-population models in the Indo-Australian Archipelago. Royal Society Open Science, 5, 3: 171366 (14 pp.). doi: 10.1098/rsos.171366
Kergunteuil, A.; Descombes, P.; Glauser, G.; Pellissier, L.; Rasmann, S., 2018: Plant physical and chemical defence variation along elevation gradients: a functional trait-based approach. Oecologia, 187, 2: 561-571. doi: 10.1007/s00442-018-4162-y
Speich, M.J.R.; Lischke, H.; Zappa, M., 2018: Testing an optimality-based model of rooting zone water storage capacity in temperate forests. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, 7: 4097-4124. doi: 10.5194/hess-22-4097-2018
Rehnus, M.; Bollmann, K.; Schmatz, D.R.; Hackländer, K.; Braunisch, V., 2018: Alpine glacial relict species losing out to climate change: the case of the fragmented mountain hare population (Lepus timidus) in the Alps. Global Change Biology, 24, 7: 3236-3253. doi: 10.1111/gcb.14087
Chongbang, T.B.; Keller, C.; Nobis, M.; Scheidegger, C.; Baniya, C.B., 2018: From natural forest to cultivated land: lichen species diversity along land-use gradients in Kanchenjunga, Eastern Nepal. eco.mont, 10, 1: 46-60. doi: 10.1553/eco.mont-10-1s46
Caspersen, J.P.; Thürig, E.; Rigling, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2018: Complementarity of gymnosperms and angiosperms along an altitudinal temperature gradient. Oikos, 127, 12: 1787-1799. doi: 10.1111/oik.05360
Subba, B.; Sen, S.; Ravikanth, G.; Nobis, M.P., 2018: Direct modelling of limited migration improves projected distributions of Himalayan amphibians under climate change. Biological Conservation, 227: 352-360. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2018.09.035
Zurell, D.; Pollock, L.J.; Thuiller, W., 2018: Do joint species distribution models reliably detect interspecific interactions from co-occurrence data in homogenous environments?. Ecography, 41, 11: 1812-1819. doi: 10.1111/ecog.03315
Zhang, Z.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Calle, L.; Hurtt, G.; Chatterjee, A.; Poulter, B., 2018: Enhanced response of global wetland methane emissions to the 2015–2016 El Niño-Southern Oscillation event. Environmental Research Letters, 13, 7: 074009 (14 pp.). doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aac939
Rumpf, S.B.; Hülber, K.; Klonner, G.; Moser, D.; Schütz, M.; Wessely, J.; Willner, W.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Dullinger, S., 2018: Range dynamics of mountain plants decrease with elevation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America PNAS, 115, 8: 1848-1853. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1713936115
Gallien, L.; Zurell, D.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2018: Frequency and intensity of facilitation reveal opposing patterns along a stress gradient. Ecology and Evolution, 8, 4: 2171-2181. doi: 10.1002/ece3.3855
Boke-Olén, N.; Ardö, J.; Eklundh, L.; Holst, T.; Lehsten, V., 2018: Remotely sensed soil moisture to estimate savannah NDVI. PLoS One, 13, 7: e0200328 (11 pp.). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0200328
Pellissier, L.; Descombes, P.; Hagen, O.; Chalmandrier, L.; Glauser, G.; Kergunteuil, A.; Defossez, E.; Rasmann, S., 2018: Growth-competition-herbivore resistance trade-offs and the responses of alpine plant communities to climate change. Functional Ecology, 32, 7: 1693-1703. doi: 10.1111/1365-2435.13075
Slodowicz, D.; Descombes, P.; Kikodze, D.; Broennimann, O.; Müller-Schärer, H., 2018: Areas of high conservation value at risk by plant invaders in Georgia under climate change. Ecology and Evolution, 8, 9: 4431-4442. doi: 10.1002/ece3.4005
Wang, C.; Chen, Z.; Brunner, I.; Zhang, Z.; Zhu, X.; Li, J.; Yin, H.; Guo, W.; Zhao, T.; Zheng, X.; Wang, S.; Geng, Z.; Shen, S.; Jin, D.; Li, M., 2018: Global patterns of dead fine root stocks in forest ecosystems. Journal of Biogeography, 45, 6: 1378-1394. doi: 10.1111/jbi.13206
Wu, Z.; Boke-Olén, N.; Fensholt, R.; Ardo, J.; Eklundh, L.; Lehsten, V., 2018: Effect of climate dataset selection on simulations of terrestrial GPP: highest uncertainty for tropical regions. PLoS One, 13, 6: e0199383 (15 pp.). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0199383
Blanke, J.; Boke-Olén, N.; Olin, S.; Chang, J.; Sahlin, U.; Lindeskog, M.; Lehsten, V., 2018: Implications of accounting for management intensity on carbon and nitrogen balances of European grasslands. PLoS One, 13, 8: e0201058 (20 pp.). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0201058
Beck, H.E.; Zimmermann, NiklausE.; McVicar, T.R.; Vergopolan, N.; Berg, A.; Wood, E.F., 2018: Present and future köppen-geiger climate classification maps at 1-km resolution. Scientific Data, 5: 180214 (12 pp.). doi: 10.1038/sdata.2018.214
Zurell, D.; Graham, C.H.; Gallien, L.; Thuiller, W.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2018: Long-distance migratory birds threatened by multiple independent risks from global change. Nature Climate Change, 8: 992-996. doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0312-9
Yates, K.L.; Bouchet, P.J.; Caley, M.J.; Mengersen, K.; Randin, C.F.; Parnell, S.; Fielding, A.H.; Bamford, A.J.; Ban, S.; Barbosa, A.M.; Dormann, C.F.; Elith, J.; Embling, C.B.; Ervin, G.N.; Fisher, R.; Gould, S.; Graf, R.F.; Gregr, E.J.; Halpin, P.N.; ... Sequeira, A.M.M., 2018: Outstanding challenges in the transferability of ecological models. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 33, 10: 790-802. doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2018.08.001
Molinari, C.; Lehsten, V.; Blarquez, O.; Carcaillet, C.; Davis, B.A.S.; Kaplan, J.O.; Clear, J.; Bradshaw, R.H.W., 2018: The climate, the fuel and the land use: long-term regional variability of biomass burning in boreal forests. Global Change Biology, 24, 10: 4929-4945. doi: 10.1111/gcb.14380
Zhang, Z.; Babst, F.; Bellassen, V.; Frank, D.; Launois, T.; Tan, K.; Ciais, P.; Poulter, B., 2018: Converging climate sensitivities of European forests between observed radial tree growth and vegetation models. Ecosystems, 21: 410-425. doi: 10.1007/s10021-017-0157-5
Pellissier, L.; Albouy, C.; Bascompte, J.; Farwig, N.; Graham, C.; Loreau, M.; Maglianesi, M.A.; Melián, C.J.; Pitteloud, C.; Roslin, T.; Rohr, R.; Saavedra, S.; Thuiller, W.; Woodward, G.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Gravel, D., 2018: Comparing species interaction networks along environmental gradients. Biological Reviews, 93, 2: 785-800. doi: 10.1111/brv.12366
Steinbauer, M.J.; Grytnes, J.; Jurasinski, G.; Kulonen, A.; Lenoir, J.; Pauli, H.; Rixen, C.; Winkler, M.; Bardy-Durchhalter, M.; Barni, E.; Bjorkman, A.D.; Breiner, F.T.; Burg, S.; Dawes, M.A.; Czortek, P.; Delimat, A.; Dullinger, S.; Erschbamer, B.; Felde, V.A.; ... Wipf, S., 2018: Accelerated increase in plant species richness on mountain summits is linked to warming. Nature, 556, 7700: 231-234. doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0005-6
Smyčka, J.; Roquet, C.; Renaud, J.; Thuiller, W.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Lavergne, S., 2018: Reprint of: disentangling drivers of plant endemism and diversification in the European Alps – a phylogenetic and spatially explicit approach. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics, 30: 31-40. doi: 10.1016/j.ppees.2017.08.003
Schaefer, M.; Menz, S.; Jeltsch, F.; Zurell, D., 2018: sOAR: a tool for modelling optimal animal life-history strategies in cyclic environments. Ecography, 41, 3: 551-557. doi: 10.1111/ecog.03328
Speich, M.J.R.; Zappa, M.; Lischke, H., 2018: Sensitivity of forest water balance and physiological drought predictions to soil and vegetation parameters – A model-based study. Environmental Modelling and Software, 102: 213-232. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.01.016
Wypych, A.; Ustrnul, Z.; Schmatz, D.R., 2018: Long-term variability of air temperature and precipitation conditions in the Polish Carpathians. Journal of Mountain Science, 15, 2: 237-253. doi: 10.1007/s11629-017-4374-3
Wohlgemuth, T.; Wermelinger, B.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2018: Wie lange kann die Fichte dem Klimawandel im Kanton Zürich trotzen?. Zürcher Wald, 6-10.
Descombes, P.; Gaboriau, T.; Albouy, C.; Heine, C.; Leprieur, F.; Pellissier, L., 2018: Linking species diversification to palaeo-environmental changes: a process-based modelling approach. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 27, 2: 233-244. doi: 10.1111/geb.12683
Wu, Z.; Ahlström, A.; Smith, B.; Ardö, J.; Eklundh, L.; Fensholt, R.; Lehsten, V., 2017: Climate data induced uncertainty in model-based estimations of terrestrial primary productivity. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 6: 64013 (12 pp.). doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6fd8
Quinzin, M.C.; Normand, S.; Dellicour, S.; Svenning, J.; Mardulyn, P., 2017: Glacial survival of trophically linked boreal species in northern Europe. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological sciences, 284, 1856: 20162799 (9 pp.). doi: 10.1098/rspb.2016.2799
Saladin, B.; Leslie, A.B.; Wüest, R.O.; Litsios, G.; Conti, E.; Salamin, N.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2017: Fossils matter: improved estimates of divergence times in Pinus reveal older diversification. BMC Evolutionary Biology, 17, 1: 95 (15 pp.). doi: 10.1186/s12862-017-0941-z
Ottimofiore, E.; Albouy, C.; Leprieur, F.; Descombes, P.; Kulbicki, M.; Mouillot, D.; Parravicini, V.; Pellissier, L., 2017: Responses of coral reef fishes to past climate changes are related to life-history traits. Ecology and Evolution, 7, 6: 1996-2005. doi: 10.1002/ece3.2800
Karger, D.N.; Conrad, O.; Böhner, J.; Kawohl, T.; Kreft, H.; Soria-Auza, R.W.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Linder, H.P.; Kessler, M., 2017: Climatologies at high resolution for the earth's land surface areas. Scientific Data, 4: 170122 (20 pp.). doi: 10.1038/sdata.2017.122
Reyer, C.P.O.; Bathgate, S.; Blennow, K.; Borges, J.G.; Bugmann, H.; Delzon, S.; Faias, S.P.; Garcia-Gonzalo, J.; Gardiner, B.; Gonzalez-Olabarria, J.R.; Gracia, C.; Guerra Hernández, J.; Kellomäki, S.; Kramer, K.; Lexer, M.J.; Lindner, M.; Van der Maaten, E.; Maroschek, M.; Muys, B.; ... Hanewinkel, M., 2017: Are forest disturbances amplifying or canceling out climate change-induced productivity changes in European forests?. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 3: 034027 (13 pp.). doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa5ef1
This book introduces the key stages of niche-based habitat suitability model building, evaluation and prediction required for understanding and predicting future patterns of species and biodiversity.
Ecology, biodiversity and conservation
2017
Somodi, I.; Molnár, Z.; Czúcz, B.; Bede-Fazekas, Á.; Bölöni, J.; Pásztor, L.; Laborczi, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2017: Implementation and application of multiple potential natural vegetation models - a case study of Hungary. Journal of Vegetation Science, 28, 6: 1260-1269. doi: 10.1111/jvs.12564
Wang, S.; Xu, X.; Shrestha, N.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Tang, Z.; Wang, Z., 2017: Response of spatial vegetation distribution in China to climate changes since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). PLoS One, 12, 4: e0175742 (18 pp.). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0175742
Zhang, Z.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Stenke, A.; Li, X.; Hodson, E.L.; Zhu, G.; Huang, C.; Poulter, B., 2017: Emerging role of wetland methane emissions in driving 21st century climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America PNAS, 114, 36: 9647-9652. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1618765114
Poulter, B.; Bousquet, P.; Canadell, J.G.; Ciais, P.; Peregon, A.; Saunois, M.; Arora, V.K.; Beerling, D.J.; Brovkin, V.; Jones, C.D.; Joos, F.; Gedney, N.; Ito, A.; Kleinen, T.; Koven, C.D.; McDonald, K.; Melton, J.R.; Peng, C.; Peng, S.; ... Zhu, Q., 2017: Global wetland contribution to 2000-2012 atmospheric methane growth rate dynamics. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 9: 094013 (16 pp.). doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa8391
Pandey, S.; Houweling, S.; Krol, M.; Aben, I.; Monteil, G.; Nechita-Banda, N.; Dlugokencky, E.J.; Detmers, R.; Hasekamp, O.; Xu, X.; Riley, W.J.; Poulter, B.; Zhang, Z.; McDonald, K.C.; White, J.W.C.; Bousquet, P.; Röckmann, T., 2017: Enhanced methane emissions from tropical wetlands during the 2011 La Niña. Scientific Reports, 7: 45759 (8 pp.). doi: 10.1038/srep45759
Sáenz-Romero, C.; Lamy, J.; Ducousso, A.; Musch, B.; Ehrenmann, F.; Delzon, S.; Cavers, S.; Chałupka, W.; Dağdaş, S.; Hansen, J.K.; Lee, S.J.; Liesebach, M.; Rau, H.; Psomas, A.; Schneck, V.; Steiner, W.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Kremer, A., 2017: Adaptive and plastic responses of Quercus petraea populations to climate across Europe. Global Change Biology, 23, 7: 2831-2847. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13576
Lehsten, V.; Wiik, L.; Hannukkala, A.; Andreasson, E.; Chen, D.; Ou, T.; Liljeroth, E.; Lankinen, Ǻ.; Grenville-Briggs, L., 2017: Earlier occurrence and increased explanatory power of climate for the first incidence of potato late blight caused by Phytophthora infestans in Fennoscandia. PLoS One, 12, 5: e0177580 (21 pp.). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0177580
Guéguen, M.; Barros, C.; Douzet, R.; Carboni, M.; Boulangeat, I.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Münkemüller, T.; Thuiller, W., 2017: Extreme climate events counteract the effects of climate and land-use changes in Alpine tree lines. Journal of Applied Ecology, 54, 1: 39-50. doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.12742
Boke-Olén, N.; Abdi, A.M.; Hall, O.; Lehsten, V., 2017: Data Descriptor: high-resolution African population projections from radiative forcing and socio-economic models, 2000 to 2100. Scientific Data, 4: 160130 (9 pp.). doi: 10.1038/sdata.2016.130
Madrigal-González, J.; Ruiz-Benito, P.; Ratcliffe, S.; Rigling, A.; Wirth, C.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Zweifel, R.; Zavala, M.A., 2017: Competition drives oak species distribution and functioning in Europe: implications under global change. In: Gil-Pelegrín, E.; Peguero-Pina, J.J.; Sancho-Knapik, D. (eds), 2017: Oaks physiological ecology. Exploring the functional diversity of genus Quercus L.. Cham, Springer. 513-518.
Huber, R.; Snell, R.; Monin, F.; Brunner, S.H.; Schmatz, D.; Finger, R., 2017: Interaction effects of targeted agri-environmental payments on non-marketed goods and services under climate change in a mountain region. Land Use Policy, 66: 49-60. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.04.029
Yousefpour, R.; Temperli, C.; Bredahl Jacobsen, J.; Jellesmark Thorsen, B.; Meilby, H.; Lexer, M.J.; Lindner, M.; Bugmann, H.; Borges, J.G.; Palma, J.H.N.; Ray, D.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Delzon, S.; Kremer, A.; Kramer, K.; Reyer, C.P.O.; Lasch-Born, P.; Garcia-Gonzalo, J.; Hanewinkel, M., 2017: A framework for modeling adaptive forest management and decision making under climate change. Ecology and Society, 22, 4: 40 (25 pp.). doi: 10.5751/ES-09614-220440
Zurell, D., 2017: Integrating demography, dispersal and interspecific interactions into bird distribution models. Journal of Avian Biology, 48, 12: 1505-1516. doi: 10.1111/jav.01225
Smyčka, J.; Roquet, C.; Renaud, J.; Thuiller, W.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Lavergne, S., 2017: Disentangling drivers of plant endemism and diversification in the European Alps – a phylogenetic and spatially explicit approach. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, 28: 19-27. doi: 10.1016/j.ppees.2017.06.004
Concepción, E.D.; Götzenberger, L.; Nobis, M.P.; De Bello, F.; Obrist, M.K.; Moretti, M., 2017: Contrasting trait assembly patterns in plant and bird communities along environmental and human-induced land-use gradients. Ecography, 40, 6: 753-763. doi: 10.1111/ecog.02121
Bolliger, J.; Schmatz, D.; Pazúr, R.; Ostapowicz, K.; Psomas, A., 2017: Reconstructing forest-cover change in the Swiss Alps between 1880 and 2010 using ensemble modelling. Regional Environmental Change, 17, 8: 2265-2277. doi: 10.1007/s10113-016-1090-4
Frank, A.; Howe, G.T.; Sperisen, C.; Brang, P.; St. Clair, J.B.; Schmatz, D.R.; Heiri, C., 2017: Risk of genetic maladaptation due to climate change in three major European tree species. Global Change Biology, 23, 12: 5358-5371. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13802
Loran, C.; Munteanu, C.; Verburg, P.H.; Schmatz, D.R.; Bürgi, M.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2017: Long-term change in drivers of forest cover expansion: an analysis for Switzerland (1850–2000). Regional Environmental Change, 17, 8: 2223-2235. doi: 10.1007/s10113-017-1148-y
Price, B.; Kaim, D.; Szwagrzyk, M.; Ostapowicz, K.; Kolecka, N.; Schmatz, D.R.; Wypych, A.; Kozak, J., 2017: Legacies, socio-economic and biophysical processes and drivers: the case of future forest cover expansion in the Polish Carpathians and Swiss Alps. Regional Environmental Change, 17, 8: 2279-2291. doi: 10.1007/s10113-016-1079-z
Buholzer, S.; Nobis, M.; Rometsch, S.; Schoenenberger, N., 2017: Neuankömmlinge unter den gebietsfremden Arten. Nouveautés parmi les plantes exotiques. info flora plus, 6: 12-14.
Shifley, S.R.; He, H.S.; Lischke, H.; Wang, W.J.; Jin, W.; Gustafson, E.J.; Thompson, J.R.; Thompson III., F.R.; Dijak, W.D.; Yang, J., 2017: The past and future of modeling forest dynamics: from growth and yield curves to forest landscape models. Landscape Ecology, 32, 7: 1307-1325. doi: 10.1007/s10980-017-0540-9
Nielsen, S.; Von Arx, G.; Damgaard, C.F.; Abermann, J.; Buchwal, A.; Büntgen, U.; Treier, U.A.; Barfod, A.S.; Normand, S., 2017: Xylem anatomical trait variability provides insight on the climate-growth relationship of Betula nana in western Greenland. Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research, 49, 3: 359-371. doi: 10.1657/AAAR0016-041
He, H.S.; Gustafson, E.J.; Lischke, H., 2017: Modeling forest landscapes in a changing climate: theory and application. Landscape Ecology, 32, 7: 1299-1305. doi: 10.1007/s10980-017-0529-4
Gallien, L.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Levine, J.M.; Adler, P.B., 2017: The effects of intransitive competition on coexistence. Ecology Letters, 20, 7: 791-800. doi: 10.1111/ele.12775
Chala, D.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Brochmann, C.; Bakkestuen, V., 2017: Migration corridors for alpine plants among the 'sky islands' of eastern Africa: do they, or did they exist?. Alpine Botany, 127, 2: 133-144. doi: 10.1007/s00035-017-0184-z
Saunois, M.; Bousquet, P.; Poulter, B.; Peregon, A.; Ciais, P.; Canadell, J.G.; Dlugokencky, E.J.; Etiope, G.; Bastviken, D.; Houweling, S.; Janssens-Maenhout, G.; Tubiello, F.N.; Castaldi, S.; Jackson, R.B.; Alexe, M.A.; Arora, V.K.; Beerling, D.J.; Bergamaschi, P.; Blake, D.R.; ... Zhu, Q., 2017: Variability and quasi-decadal changes in the methane budget over the period 2000-2012. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 17, 18: 11135-11161. doi: 10.5194/acp-17-11135-2017
Jin, J.; Wang, Y.; Zhang, Z.; Magliulo, V.; Jiang, H.; Cheng, M., 2017: Phenology plays an important role in the regulation of terrestrial ecosystem water-use efficiency in the Northern Hemisphere. Remote Sensing, 9, 7: 664 (15 pp.). doi: 10.3390/rs9070664
Jucker, T.; Caspersen, J.; Chave, J.; Antin, C.; Barbier, N.; Bongers, F.; Dalponte, M.; Van Ewijk, K.Y.; Forrester, D.I.; Haeni, M.; Higgins, S.I.; Holdaway, R.J.; Iida, Y.; Lorimer, C.; Marshall, P.L.; Momo, S.; Moncrieff, G.R.; Ploton, P.; Poorter, L.; ... Coomes, D.A., 2017: Allometric equations for integrating remote sensing imagery into forest monitoring programmes. Global Change Biology, 23, 1: 177-190. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13388
D'Amen, M.; Rahbek, C.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Guisan, A., 2017: Spatial predictions at the community level: from current approaches to future frameworks. Biological Reviews, 92, 1: 169-187. doi: 10.1111/brv.12222
Descombes, P.; Vittoz, P.; Guisan, A.; Pellissier, L., 2017: Uneven rate of plant turnover along elevation in grasslands. Alpine Botany, 127, 1: 53-63. doi: 10.1007/s00035-016-0173-7
Breiner, F.T.; Guisan, A.; Nobis, M.P.; Bergamini, A., 2017: Including environmental niche information to improve IUCN Red List assessments. Diversity and Distributions, 23, 5: 484-495. doi: 10.1111/ddi.12545
Serra-Varela, M.J.; Alía, R.; Ruiz Daniels, R.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Gonzalo-Jiménez, J.; Grivet, D., 2017: Assessing vulnerability of two Mediterranean conifers to support genetic conservation management in the face of climate change. Diversity and Distributions, 23, 5: 507-516. doi: 10.1111/ddi.12544
Rubio-Salcedo, M.; Psomas, A.; Prieto, M.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Martínez, I., 2017: Case study of the implications of climate change for lichen diversity and distributions. Biodiversity and Conservation, 26, 5: 1121-1141. doi: 10.1007/s10531-016-1289-1
Gallien, L.; Altermatt, F.; Wiemers, M.; Schweiger, O.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2017: Invasive plants threaten the least mobile butterflies in Switzerland. Diversity and Distributions, 23, 2: 185-195. doi: 10.1111/ddi.12513
Swenson, N.G.; Weiser, M.D.; Mao, L.F.; Araújo, M.B.; Diniz-Filho, J.A.F.; Kollmann, J.; Nogués-Bravo, D.; Normand, S.; Rodríguez, M.A.; García-Valdés, R.; Valladares, F.; Zavala, M.A.; Svenning, J., 2017: Phylogeny and the prediction of tree functional diversity across novel continental settings. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 26, 5: 553-562. doi: 10.1111/geb.12559
Rotics, S.; Turjeman, S.; Kaatz, M.; Resheff, Y.S.; Zurell, D.; Sapir, N.; Eggers, U.; Fiedler, W.; Flack, A.; Jeltsch, F.; Wikelski, M.; Nathan, R., 2017: Wintering in Europe instead of Africa enhances juvenile survival in a long-distance migrant. Animal Behaviour, 126: 79-88. doi: 10.1016/j.anbehav.2017.01.016
Nordén, A.; Coria, J.; Jönsson, A.M.; Lagergren, F.; Lehsten, V., 2017: Divergence in stakeholders' preferences: evidence from a choice experiment on forest landscapes preferences in Sweden. Ecological Economics, 132: 179-195. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2016.09.032
Lischke, H.; Löffler, T.J., 2017: Finding all multiple stable fixpoints of n-species Lotka–Volterra competition models. Theoretical Population Biology, 115: 24-34. doi: 10.1016/j.tpb.2017.02.001
Descombes, P.; Leprieur, F.; Albouy, C.; Heine, C.; Pellissier, L., 2017: Spatial imprints of plate tectonics on extant richness of terrestrial vertebrates. Journal of Biogeography, 44, 5: 1185-1197. doi: 10.1111/jbi.12959
Descombes, P.; Marchon, J.; Pradervand, J.; Bilat, J.; Guisan, A.; Rasmann, S.; Pellissier, L., 2017: Community-level plant palatability increases with elevation as insect herbivore abundance declines. Journal of Ecology, 105, 1: 142-151. doi: 10.1111/1365-2745.12664
Blanke, J.H.; Olin, S.; Stürck, J.; Sahlin, U.; Lindeskog, M.; Helming, J.; Lehsten, V., 2017: Assessing the impact of changes in land-use intensity and climate on simulated trade-offs between crop yield and nitrogen leaching. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 239: 385-398. doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2017.01.038
Zurell, D.; Thuiller, W.; Pagel, J.; Cabral, J.S.; Münkemüller, T.; Gravel, D.; Dullinger, S.; Normand, S.; Schiffers, K.H.; Moore, K.A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2016: Benchmarking novel approaches for modelling species range dynamics. Global Change Biology, 22, 8: 2651-2664. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13251
Girardin, M.P.; Bouriaud, O.; Hogg, E.H.; Kurz, W.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Metsaranta, J.M.; De Jong, R.; Frank, D.C.; Esper, J.; Büntgen, U.; Guo, X.J.; Bhatti, J., 2016: No growth stimulation of Canada's boreal forest under half-century of combined warming and CO2 fertilization. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America PNAS, 113, 52: E8406-E8414. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1610156113
Leprieur, F.; Descombes, P.; Gaboriau, T.; Cowman, P.F.; Parravicini, V.; Kulbicki, M.; Melián, C.J.; De Santana, C.N.; Heine, C.; Mouillot, D.; Bellwood, D.R.; Pellissier, L., 2016: Plate tectonics drive tropical reef biodiversity dynamics. Nature Communications, 7: 11461 (8 pp.). doi: 10.1038/ncomms11461
Chala, D.; Brochmann, C.; Psomas, A.; Ehrich, D.; Gizaw, A.; Masao, C.A.; Bakkestuen, V.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2016: Good-bye to tropical alpine plant giants under warmer climates? Loss of range and genetic diversity in Lobelia rhynchopetalum. Ecology and Evolution, 6, 24: 8931-8941. doi: 10.1002/ece3.2603
Reisner Hansen, R.; Hansen, O.L.P.; Bowden, J.J.; Treier, U.A.; Normand, S.; Høye, T., 2016: Meter scale variation in shrub dominance and soil moisture structure Arctic arthropod communities. PeerJ, 4, 7: e2224 (18 pp.). doi: 10.7717/peerj.2224
Kirchheimer, B.; Schinkel, C.C.F.; Dellinger, A.S.; Klatt, S.; Moser, D.; Winkler, M.; Lenoir, J.; Caccianiga, M.; Guisan, A.; Nieto-Lugilde, D.; Svenning, J.; Thuiller, W.; Vittoz, P.; Willner, W.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Hörandl, E.; Dullinger, S., 2016: A matter of scale: apparent niche differentiation of diploid and tetraploid plants may depend on extent and grain of analysis. Journal of Biogeography, 43, 4: 716-726. doi: 10.1111/jbi.12663
Katuwal, H.B.; Basnet, K.; Khanal, B.; Devkota, S.; Rai, S.K.; Gajurel, J.P.; Scheidegger, C.; Nobis, M.P., 2016: Seasonal changes in bird Species and feeding guilds along elevational gradients of the Central Himalayas, Nepal. PLoS One, 11, 7: e0158362 (17 pp.). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0158362
Rai, S.K.; Sharma, S.; Shrestha, K.K.; Gajurel, J.P.; Devkota, S.; Nobis, M.P.; Scheidegger, C., 2016: Effects of the environment on species richness and composition of vascular plants in Manaslu Conservation Area and Sagarmatha region of Nepalese Himalaya. Banko Janakari, 26, 1: 3-16. doi: 10.3126/banko.v26i1.15496
Jakoby, O.; Stadelmann, G.; Lischke, H.; Wermelinger, B., 2016: Les scolytes et la sensibilité de l'épicéa aux infestations dans le contexte des changements climatiques. In: Pluess, A.R.; Augustin, S.; Brang, P.; Office fédéral de l’environnement OFEV,Berne; Institut fédéral de recherches sur la forêt (eds), 2016: Forêts et changements climatiques. Éléments pour des stratégies d'adaptation. Berne, Stuttgart, Vienne, Haupt. 251-269.
Zimmermann, N.E.; Schmatz, D.R.; Gallien, L.; Körner, C.; Huber, B.; Frehner, M.; Küchler, M.; Psomas, A., 2016: Répartition des essences forestières et adéquation des stations. In: Pluess, A.R.; Augustin, S.; Brang, P.; Office fédéral de l’environnement OFEV,Berne; Institut fédéral de recherches sur la forêt (eds), 2016: Forêts et changements climatiques. Éléments pour des stratégies d'adaptation. Berne, Stuttgart, Vienne, Haupt. 205-227.
Zimmermann, N.E.; Schmatz, D.R.; Gallien, L.; Körner, C.; Huber, B.; Frehner, M.; Küchler, M.; Psomas, A., 2016: Baumartenverbreitung und Standorteignung. In: Pluess, A.R.; Augustin, S.; Brang, P.; Bundesamt für Umwelt BAFU,Bern; Eidgenössische Forschungsanstalt für Wald,Schnee und Landschaft WSL,Birmensdorf (eds), 2016: Wald im Klimawandel. Grundlagen für Adaptationsstrategien. Bern, Stuttgart, Wien, Haupt. 199-221.
Wohlgemuth, T.; Gallien, L.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2016: Verjüngung von Buche und Fichte im Klimawandel. In: Pluess, A.R.; Augustin, S.; Brang, P.; Bundesamt für Umwelt BAFU,Bern; Eidgenössische Forschungsanstalt für Wald,Schnee und Landschaft WSL,Birmensdorf (eds), 2016: Wald im Klimawandel. Grundlagen für Adaptationsstrategien. Bern, Stuttgart, Wien, Haupt. 115-135.
Wohlgemuth, T.; Gallien, L.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2016: Régénération du hêtre et de l'épicéa dans le contexte des changements climatiques. In: Pluess, A.R.; Augustin, S.; Brang, P.; Office fédéral de l’environnement OFEV,Berne; Institut fédéral de recherches sur la forêt (eds), 2016: Forêts et changements climatiques. Éléments pour des stratégies d'adaptation. Berne, Stuttgart, Vienne, Haupt. 119-141.
Remund, J.; Von Arx, G.; Gallien, L.; Rebetez, M.; Huber, B.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2016: Klimawandel in der Schweiz - Entwicklung waldrelevanter Klimagrössen. In: Pluess, A.R.; Augustin, S.; Brang, P.; Bundesamt für Umwelt BAFU,Bern; Eidgenössische Forschungsanstalt für Wald,Schnee und Landschaft WSL,Birmensdorf (eds), 2016: Wald im Klimawandel. Grundlagen für Adaptationsstrategien. Bern, Stuttgart, Wien, Haupt. 23-37.
Remund, J.; Von Arx, G.; Gallien, L.; Rebetez, M.; Huber, B.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2016: Changements climatiques en Suisse - définition de paramètres climatiques relatifs à la forêt. In: Pluess, A.R.; Augustin, S.; Brang, P.; Office fédéral de l’environnement OFEV,Berne; Institut fédéral de recherches sur la forêt (eds), 2016: Forêts et changements climatiques. Éléments pour des stratégies d'adaptation. Berne, Stuttgart, Vienne, Haupt. 23-39.
Jakoby, O.; Stadelmann, G.; Lischke, H.; Wermelinger, B., 2016: Borkenkäfer und Befallsdisposition der Fichte im Klimawandel. In: Pluess, A.R.; Augustin, S.; Brang, P.; Bundesamt für Umwelt BAFU,Bern; Eidgenössische Forschungsanstalt für Wald,Schnee und Landschaft WSL,Birmensdorf (eds), 2016: Wald im Klimawandel. Grundlagen für Adaptationsstrategien. Bern, Stuttgart, Wien, Haupt. 247-265.
Zhang, Z.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Kaplan, J.O.; Poulter, B., 2016: Modeling spatiotemporal dynamics of global wetlands: comprehensive evaluation of a new sub-grid TOPMODEL parameterization and uncertainties. Biogeosciences, 13, 5: 1387-1408. doi: 10.5194/bg-13-1387-2016
Zurell, D.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Sattler, T.; Nobis, M.P.; Schröder, B., 2016: Effects of functional traits on the prediction accuracy of species richness models. Diversity and Distributions, 22, 8: 905-917. doi: 10.1111/ddi.12450
Wüest, R.O.; Litsios, G.; Forest, F.; Lexer, C.; Linder, H.P.; Salamin, N.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Pearman, P.B., 2016: Resprouter fraction in Cape Restionaceae assemblages varies with climate and soil type. Functional Ecology, 30, 9: 1583-1592. doi: 10.1111/1365-2435.12629
Rotics, S.; Kaatz, M.; Resheff, Y.S.; Feldman Turjeman, S.; Zurell, D.; Sapir, N.; Eggers, U.; Flack, A.; Fiedler, W.; Jeltsch, F.; Wikelski, M.; Nathan, R., 2016: The challenges of the first migration: movement and behaviour of juvenile vs. adult white storks with insights regarding juvenile mortality. Journal of Animal Ecology, 85, 4: 938-947. doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.12525
Pellissier, L.; Bronken Eidesen, P.; Ehrich, D.; Descombes, P.; Schönswetter, P.; Tribsch, A.; Bakke Westergaard, K.; Alvarez, N.; Guisan, A.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Normand, S.; Vittoz, P.; Luoto, M.; Damgaard, C.; Brochmann, C.; Wisz, M.S.; Alsos, I.G., 2016: Past climate-driven range shifts and population genetic diversity in arctic plants. Journal of Biogeography, 43, 3: 461-470. doi: 10.1111/jbi.12657
Moos, C.; Bebi, P.; Graf, F.; Mattli, J.; Rickli, C.; Schwarz, M., 2016: How does forest structure affect root reinforcement and susceptibility to shallow landslides?. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 41, 7: 951-960. doi: 10.1002/esp.3887
Maringer, J.; Conedera, M.; Ascoli, D.; Schmatz, D.R.; Wohlgemuth, T., 2016: Resilience of European beech forests (Fagus sylvatica L.) after fire in a global change context. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 25, 6: 699-710. doi: 10.1071/WF15127
Leprieur, F.; Colosio, S.; Descombes, P.; Parravicini, V.; Kulbicki, M.; Cowman, P.F.; Bellwood, D.R.; Mouillot, D.; Pellissier, L., 2016: Historical and contemporary determinants of global phylogenetic structure in tropical reef fish faunas. Ecography, 39, 9: 825-835. doi: 10.1111/ecog.01638
Körner, C.; Basler, D.; Hoch, G.; Kollas, C.; Lenz, A.; Randin, C.F.; Vitasse, Y.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2016: Where, why and how? Explaining the low-temperature range limits of temperate tree species. Journal of Ecology, 104, 4: 1076-1088. doi: 10.1111/1365-2745.12574
Kunstler, G.; Falster, D.; Coomes, D.A.; Hui, F.; Kooyman, R.M.; Laughlin, D.C.; Poorter, L.; Vanderwel, M.; Vieilledent, G.; Wright, S.J.; Aiba, M.; Baraloto, C.; Caspersen, J.; Cornelissen, J.H.C.; Gourlet-Fleury, S.; Hanewinkel, M.; Herault, B.; Kattge, J.; Kurokawa, H.; ... Westoby, M., 2016: Plant functional traits have globally consistent effects on competition. Nature, 529, 7571: 204-207. doi: 10.1038/nature16476
Meier, E.S.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2016: Importance of species competition and migration limitation for tree distributions during global change. In: Krumm, F.; Vitková, L. (eds), 2016: Introduced tree species in European forests: opportunities and challenges. Freiburg, European Forest Institute. 226-235.
Klimešová, J.; Nobis, M.P.; Herben, T., 2016: Links between shoot and plant longevity and plant economics spectrum: environmental and demographic implications. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics, 22: 55-62. doi: 10.1016/j.ppees.2016.09.002
Hülber, K.; Wessely, J.; Gattringer, A.; Moser, D.; Kuttner, M.; Essl, F.; Leitner, M.; Winkler, M.; Ertl, S.; Willner, W.; Kleinbauer, I.; Sauberer, N.; Mang, T.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Dullinger, S., 2016: Uncertainty in predicting range dynamics of endemic alpine plants under climate warming. Global Change Biology, 22, 7: 2608-2619. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13232
Hurdu, B.; Escalante, T.; Pușcaș, M.; Novikoff, A.; Bartha, L.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2016: Exploring the different facets of plant endemism in the South-Eastern Carpathians: a manifold approach for the determination of biotic elements, centres and areas of endemism. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 119, 3: 649-672. doi: 10.1111/bij.12902
Gallien, L.; Saladin, B.; Boucher, F.C.; Richardson, D.M.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2016: Does the legacy of historical biogeography shape current invasiveness in pines?. New Phytologist, 209, 3: 1096-1105. doi: 10.1111/nph.13700
Douda, J.; Boublík, K.; Slezák, M.; Biurrun, I.; Nociar, J.; Havrdová, A.; Doudová, J.; Aćić, S.; Brisse, H.; Brunet, J.; Chytrý, M.; Claessens, H.; Csiky, J.; Didukh, Y.; Dimopoulos, P.; Dullinger, S.; FitzPatrick, Ú.; Guisan, A.; Horchler, P.J.; ... Zimmermann, N.E., 2016: Vegetation classification and biogeography of European floodplain forests and alder carrs. Applied Vegetation Science, 19, 1: 147-163. doi: 10.1111/avsc.12201
Descombes, P.; Petitpierre, B.; Morard, E.; Berthoud, M.; Guisan, A.; Vittoz, P., 2016: Monitoring and distribution modelling of invasive species along riverine habitats at very high resolution. Biological Invasions, 18, 12: 3665-3679. doi: 10.1007/s10530-016-1257-4
Concepción, E.D.; Obrist, M.K.; Moretti, M.; Altermatt, F.; Baur, B.; Nobis, M.P., 2016: Impacts of urban sprawl on species richness of plants, butterflies, gastropods and birds: not only built-up area matters. Urban Ecosystems, 19, 1: 225-242. doi: 10.1007/s11252-015-0474-4
Clark, J.S.; Iverson, L.; Woodall, C.W.; Allen, C.D.; Bell, D.M.; Bragg, D.C.; D'Amato, A.W.; Davis, F.W.; Hersh, M.H.; Ibanez, I.; Jackson, S.T.; Matthews, S.; Pederson, N.; Peters, M.; Schwartz, M.W.; Waring, K.M.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2016: The impacts of increasing drought on forest dynamics, structure, and biodiversity in the United States. Global Change Biology, 22, 7: 2329-2352. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13160
Das Schweizerische Raumplanungsgesetz verlangt von den Gemeinden ihre Siedlungsentwicklung einzuschränken bzw. nach innen zu richten. Das stellt die stark wachsenden Gemeinden um die Agglomerationen vor grosse Herausforderungen.
Merkblatt für die Praxis 56
2016
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Tobias, S.; Obrist, M.K.; Moretti, M.; Nobis, M.P., 2016: Raumansprüche von Mensch und Natur: wie vereinbaren? – Comment concilier les exigences spatiales de l'homme et de la nature?. Nature + Paysage. Natur + Landschaft: Inside, 20-24.
Le développement urbain en Suisse n’inquiète pas seulement les urbanistes. La population dans son ensemble y voit également une menace pour le paysage, comme l’a montré la nette adoption de la révision de la loi sur l’aménagement du territoire lors de la votation populaire nationale de mars 2013.
Notice pour le praticien 56
2016
Clark, J.S.; Iverson, L.; Woodall, C.W.; Allen, C.D.; Bell, D.M.; Bragg, D.C.; D'Amato, T.; Davis, F.W.; Hersh, M.; Ibáñez, I.; Jackson, S.T.; Matthews, S.; Pederson, N.; Peters, M.; Schwartz, M.; Waring, K.; ... Zimmermann, N.E., 2016: Impacts of Increasing Drought on Forest Dynamics, Structure, Diversity, and Management. In: Vose, J.M.; Clark, J.S.; Patel-Weynand, T. (eds), 2016: Effects of drought on forests and rangelands in the United States: A comprehensive science synthesis. Washington, USDA. 59-96.
Boucher, F.C.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Conti, E., 2016: Allopatric speciation with little niche divergence is common among alpine Primulaceae. Journal of Biogeography, 43, 3: 591-602. doi: 10.1111/jbi.12652
Saunois, M.; Bousquet, P.; Poulter, B.; Peregon, A.; Ciais, P.; Canadell, J.G.; Dlugokencky, E.J.; Etiope, G.; Bastviken, D.; Houweling, S.; Janssens-Maenhout, G.; Tubiello, F.N.; Castaldi, S.; Jackson, R.B.; Alexe, M.; Arora, V.K.; Beerling, D.J.; Bergamaschi, P.; Blake, D.R.; ... Zhu, Q., 2016: The global methane budget 2000–2012. Earth System Science Data, 8, 2: 697-751. doi: 10.5194/essd-8-697-2016
Xu, X.; Riley, W.J.; Koven, C.D.; Billesbach, D.P.; Chang, R.Y.-W.; Commane, R.; Euskirchen, E.S.; Hartery, S.; Harazono, Y.; Iwata, H.; McDonald, K.C.; Miller, C.E.; Oechel, W.C.; Poulter, B.; Raz-Yaseef, N.; Sweeney, C.; Torn, M.; Wofsy, S.C.; Zhang, Z.; Zona, D., 2016: A multi-scale comparison of modeled and observed seasonal methane emissions in northern wetlands. Biogeosciences, 13, 17: 5043-5056. doi: 10.5194/bg-13-5043-2016
Luo, W.; Elser, J.J.; Lü, X.; Wang, Z.; Bai, E.; Yan, C.; Wang, C.; Li, M.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Han, X.; Xu, Z.; Li, H.; Wu, Y.; Jiang, Y., 2015: Plant nutrients do not covary with soil nutrients under changing climatic conditions. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, 8: 1298-1308. doi: 10.1002/2015GB005089
Nieto-Lugilde, D.; Lenoir, J.; Abdulhak, S.; Aeschimann, D.; Dullinger, S.; Gégout, J.; Guisan, A.; Pauli, H.; Renaud, J.; Theurillat, J.; Thuiller, W.; Van Es, J.; Vittoz, P.; Willner, W.; Wohlgemuth, T.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Svenning, J., 2015: Tree cover at fine and coarse spatial grains interacts with shade tolerance to shape plant species distributions across the Alps. Ecography, 38, 6: 578-589. doi: 10.1111/ecog.00954
Jakoby, O.; Wermelinger, B.; Stadelmann, G.; Lischke, H., 2015: Borkenkäfer im Klimawandel - Modellierung des künftigen Befallsrisikos durch den Buchdrucker (Ips typographus). 45 p.
Zurell, D.; Eggers, U.; Kaatz, M.; Rotics, S.; Sapir, N.; Wikelski, M.; Nathan, R.; Jeltsch, F., 2015: Individual-based modelling of resource competition to predict density-dependent population dynamics: a case study with white storks. Oikos, 124, 3: 319-330. doi: 10.1111/oik.01294
Speich, M.J.R.; Bernhard, L.; Teuling, A.J.; Zappa, M., 2015: Application of bivariate mapping for hydrological classification and analysis of temporal change and scale effects in Switzerland. Journal of Hydrology, 523: 804-821. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.086
Serra-Varela, M.J.; Grivet, D.; Vincenot, L.; Broennimann, O.; Gonzalo-Jiménez, J.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2015: Does phylogeographical structure relate to climatic niche divergence? A test using maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait.). Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24, 11: 1302-1313. doi: 10.1111/geb.12369
Klimesová, J.; Nobis, M.P.; Herben, T., 2015: Senescence, ageing and death of the whole plant: Morphological prerequisites and constraints of plant immortality. New Phytologist, 206, 1: 14-18. doi: 10.1111/nph.13160
Frank, D.C.; Poulter, B.; Saurer, M.; Esper, J.; Huntingford, C.; Helle, G.; Treydte, K.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Schleser, G.H.; Ahlström, A.; Ciais, P.; Friedlingstein, P.; Levis, S.; Lomas, M.; Sitch, S.; Viovy, N.; Andreu-Hayles, L.; Bednarz, Z.; Berninger, F.; ... Weigl, M., 2015: Water-use efficiency and transpiration across European forests during the Anthropocene. Nature Climate Change, 5, 6: 579-581. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2614
Dullinger, S.; Dendoncker, N.; Gattringer, A.; Leitner, M.; Mang, T.; Moser, D.; Mücher, C.A.; Plutzar, C.; Rounsevell, M.; Willner, W.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Hülber, K., 2015: Modelling the effect of habitat fragmentation on climate-driven migration of European forest understorey plants. Diversity and Distributions, 21, 12: 1375-1387. doi: 10.1111/ddi.12370
Descombes, P.; Pradervand, J.; Golay, J.; Guisan, A.; Pellissier, L., 2015: Simulated shifts in trophic niche breadth modulate range loss of alpine butterflies under climate change. Ecography, 39, 8: 796-804. doi: 10.1111/ecog.01557
Wüest, R.O.; Antonelli, A.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Linder, H.P., 2015: Available climate regimes drive niche diversification during range expansion. American Naturalist, 185, 5: 640-652. doi: 10.1086/680551
Schelhaas, M.; Nabuurs, G.; Hengeveld, G.; Reyer, C.; Hanewinkel, M.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Cullmann, D., 2015: Alternative forest management strategies to account for climate change-induced productivity and species suitability changes in Europe. Regional Environmental Change, 15, 8: 1581-1594. doi: 10.1007/s10113-015-0788-z
Poulter, B.; Cadule, P.; Cheiney, A.; Ciais, P.; Hodson, E.; Peylin, P.; Plummer, S.; Spessa, A.; Saatchi, S.; Yue, C.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2015: Sensitivity of global terrestrial carbon cycle dynamics to variability in satellite-observed burned area. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, 2: 207-222. doi: 10.1002/2013GB004655
Wasof, S.; Lenoir, J.; Aarrestad, P.A.; Alsos, I.G.; Armbruster, W.S.; Austrheim, G.; Bakkestuen, V.; Birks, H.J.; Bråthen, K.A.; Broennimann, O.; Brunet, J.; Bruun, H.H.; Dahlberg, C.J.; Diekmann, M.; Dullinger, S.; Dynesius, M.; Ejrnæs, R.; Gégout, J.; Graae, B.J.; ... Decocq, G., 2015: Disjunct populations of European vascular plant species keep the same climatic niches. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24, 12: 1401-1412. doi: 10.1111/geb.12375
Concepción, E.D.; Moretti, M.; Altermatt, F.; Nobis, M.P.; Obrist, M.K., 2015: Impacts of urbanisation on biodiversity: the role of species mobility, degree of specialisation and spatial scale. Oikos, 124, 12: 1571-1582. doi: 10.1111/oik.02166
Büntgen, U.; Hellmann, L.; Tegel, W.; Normand, S.; Myers-Smith, I.; Kirdyanov, A.V.; Nievergelt, D.; Schweingruber, F.H., 2015: Temperature-induced recruitment pulses of Arctic dwarf shrub communities. Journal of Ecology, 103, 2: 489-501. doi: 10.1111/1365-2745.12361
Breiner, F.T.; Guisan, A.; Bergamini, A.; Nobis, M.P., 2015: Overcoming limitations of modelling rare species by using ensembles of small models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 6, 10: 1210-1218. doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12403
Münkemüller, T.; Gallien, L.; Lavergne, S.; Renaud, J.; Roquet, C.; Abdulhak, S.; Dullinger, S.; Garraud, L.; Guisan, A.; Lenoir, J.; Svenning, J.; Van Es, J.; Vittoz, P.; Willner, W.; Wohlgemuth, T.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Thuiller, W., 2014: Scale decisions can reverse conclusions on community assembly processes. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 23, 6: 620-632. doi: 10.1111/geb.12137
Bocedi, G.; Zurell, D.; Reineking, B.; Travis, J.M.J., 2014: Mechanistic modelling of animal dispersal offers new insights into range expansion dynamics across fragmented landscapes. Ecography, 37, 12: 1240-1253. doi: 10.1111/ecog.01041
Normand, S.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Schurr, F.M.; Lischke, H., 2014: Demography as the basis for understanding and predicting range dynamics. Ecography, 37, 12: 1149-1154. doi: 10.1111/ecog.01490
Merow, C.; Smith, M.J.; Edwards, T.C.; Guisan, A.; McMahon, S.M.; Normand, S.; Thuiller, W.; Wüest, R.O.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Elith, J., 2014: What do we gain from simplicity versus complexity in species distribution models?. Ecography, 37, 12: 1267-1281. doi: 10.1111/ecog.00845
Svenning, J.; Gravel, D.; Holt, R.D.; Schurr, F.M.; Thuiller, W.; Münkemüller, T.; Schiffers, K.H.; Dullinger, S.; Edwards, Jr, T.C.; Hickler, T.; Higgins, S.I.; Nabel, J.E.M.S.; Pagel, J.; Normand, S., 2014: The influence of interspecific interactions on species range expansion rates. Ecography, 37, 12: 1198-1209. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2013.00574.x
Snell, R.S.; Huth, A.; Nabel, J.E.M.S.; Bocedi, G.; Travis, J.M.J.; Gravel, D.; Bugmann, H.; Gutiérrez, A.G.; Hickler, T.; Higgins, S.I.; Reineking, B.; Scherstjanoi, M.; Zurbriggen, N.; Lischke, H., 2014: Using dynamic vegetation models to simulate plant range shifts. Ecography, 37, 12: 1184-1197. doi: 10.1111/ecog.00580
Boulangeat, I.; Georges, D.; Dentant, C.; Bonet, R.; Van Es, J.; Abdulhak, S.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Thuiller, W., 2014: Anticipating the spatio-temporal response of plant diversity and vegetation structure to climate and land use change in a protected area. Ecography, 37, 12: 1230-1239. doi: 10.1111/ecog.00694
Pottier, J.; Malenovský, Z.; Psomas, A.; Homolová, L.; Schaepman, M.E.; Choler, P.; Thuiller, W.; Guisan, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2014: Modelling plant species distribution in alpine grasslands using airborne imaging spectroscopy. Biology Letters, 10, 7: 20143047 (4 pp.). doi: 10.1098/rsbl.2014.0347
Thuiller, W.; Münkemüller, T.; Schiffers, K.H.; Georges, D.; Dullinger, S.; Eckhart, V.M.; Edwards, Jr., T.C.; Gravel, D.; Kunstler, G.; Merow, C.; Moore, K.; Piedallu, C.; Vissault, S.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Zurell, D.; Schurr, F.M., 2014: Does probability of occurrence relate to population dynamics?. Ecography, 37, 12: 1155-1166. doi: 10.1111/ecog.00836
Thuiller, W.; Pironon, S.; Psomas, A.; Barbet-Massin, M.; Jiguet, F.; Lavergne, S.; Pearman, P.B.; Renaud, J.; Zupan, L.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2014: The European functional tree of bird life in the face of global change. Nature Communications, 5: 3118 (21 pp.). doi: 10.1038/ncomms4118
Wohlgemuth, T.; Brang, P.; Bugmann, H.; Rigling, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2014: Forschung zu Wald und Klimawandel in Mitteleuropa: eine Werkschau. Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Forstwesen, 165, 2: 27-36. doi: 10.3188/szf.2014.0027
Thuiller, W.; Guéguen, M.; Georges, D.; Bonet, R.; Chalmandrier, L.; Garraud, L.; Renaud, J.; Roquet, C.; Van Es, J.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Lavergne, S., 2014: Are different facets of plant diversity well protected against climate and land cover changes? A test study in the French Alps. Ecography, 37, 12: 1254-1266. doi: 10.1111/ecog.00670
Conedera, M.; Nobis, M.; Wunder, J., 2014: Ailanto: ospite indesiderato in bosco?. Sherwood, 15-18.
Pearman, P.B.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Guisan, A.; Psomas, A.; Schmatz, D.R., 2014: Impacts on the biodiversity of widely distributed birds and vascular plants: species richness and turnover. In: 2014: CH2014-Impacts. Toward quantitative scenarios of climate change impacts in Switzerland. Bern, Switzerland, OCCR, FOEN, MeteoSwiss, C2SM, Agroscope, ProClim. 69-78.
Bugmann, H.; Brang, P.; Elkin, C.; Henne, P.; Jakoby, O.; Lévesque, M.; Lischke, H.; Psomas, A.; Rigling, A.; Wermelinger, B.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2014: Climate change impacts on tree species, forest properties, and ecosystem services. In: Raible, C.C.; Strassmann, K.M. (eds), 2014: CH2014-Impacts. Toward quantitative scenarios of climate change impacts in Switzerland. Bern, Switzerland, OCCR, FOEN, MeteoSwiss, C2SM, Agroscope, ProClim. 79-89.
Wohlgemuth, T.; Del Fabbro, C.; Keel, A.; Kessler, M.; Nobis, M.; Spillmann, J.H.; Wyss, G., 2014: Eine neue Flora des Kantons Zürich entsteht. info flora plus, 13-15.
Wunder, J.; Nobis, M.; Conedera, M., 2014: Der Götterbaum - eine Gefahr für den Schweizer Wald?. Wald und Holz, 40-43.
Wunder, J.; Nobis, M.; Conedera, M.; Gay, J., 2014: La place de l'ailante en forêt reste à étudier. Forêt, 67, 11: 12-15.
Scherstjanoi, M.; Kaplan, J.O.; Lischke, H., 2014: Application of a computationally efficient method to approximate gap model results with a probabilistic approach. Geoscientific Model Development, 7, 4: 1543-1571. doi: 10.5194/gmd-7-1543-2014
Zurbriggen, N.; Nabel, J.E.M.S.; Teich, M.; Bebi, P.; Lischke, H., 2014: Explicit avalanche-forest feedback simulations improve the performance of a coupled avalanche-forest model. Ecological Complexity, 17: 56-66. doi: 10.1016/j.ecocom.2013.09.002
Walz, A.; Braendle, J.M.; Lang, D.J.; Brand, F.; Briner, S.; Elkin, C.; Hirschi, C.; Huber, R.; Lischke, H.; Schmatz, D.R., 2014: Experience from downscaling IPCC-SRES scenarios to specific national-level focus scenarios for ecosystem service management. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 86: 21-32. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.08.014
Scherstjanoi, M.; Kaplan, J.O.; Poulter, B.; Lischke, H., 2014: Challenges in developing a computationally efficient plant physiological height-class-structured forest model. Ecological Complexity, 19: 96-110. doi: 10.1016/j.ecocom.2014.05.009
Sattler, T.; Pezzatti, G.B.; Nobis, M.P.; Obrist, M.K.; Roth, T.; Moretti, M., 2014: Selection of multiple umbrella species for functional and taxonomic diversity to represent urban biodiversity. Conservation Biology, 28, 2: 414-426. doi: 10.1111/cobi.12213
Nobis, M.P.; Normand, S., 2014: KISSMig – a simple model for R to account for limited migration in analyses of species distributions. Ecography, 37, 12: 1282-1287. doi: 10.1111/ecog.00930
Nabel, J.E.M.S.; Kirchner, J.W.; Zurbriggen, N.; Kienast, F.; Lischke, H., 2014: Extrapolation methods for climate time series revisited - spatial correlations in climatic fluctuations influence simulated tree species abundance and migration. Ecological Complexity, 20: 315-324. doi: 10.1016/j.ecocom.2014.02.006
Patsiou, T.S.; Conti, E.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Theodoridis, S.; Randin, C.F., 2014: Topo-climatic microrefugia explain the persistence of a rare endemic plant in the Alps during the last 21 millennia. Global Change Biology, 20, 7: 2286-2300. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12515
Litsios, G.; Wüest, R.O.; Kostikova, A.; Forest, F.; Lexer, C.; Linder, H.P.; Pearman, P.B.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Salamin, N., 2014: Effects of a fire response trait on diversification in replicated radiations. Evolution, International Journal of Organic Evolution, 68, 2: 453-465. doi: 10.1111/evo.12273
Lexer, C.; Wüest, R.O.; Mangili, S.; Heuertz, M.; Stölting, K.N.; Pearman, P.B.; Forest, F.; Salamin, N.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Bossolini, E., 2014: Genomics of the divergence continuum in an African plant biodiversity hotspot, I: drivers of population divergence in Restio capensis (Restionaceae). Molecular Ecology, 23, 17: 4373-4386. doi: 10.1111/mec.12870
Lindner, M.; Fitzgerald, J.B.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Reyer, C.; Delzon, S.; Van der Maaten, E.; Schelhaas, M.; Lasch, P.; Eggers, J.; Van der Maaten-Theunissen, M.; Suckow, F.; Psomas, A.; Poulter, B.; Hanewinkel, M., 2014: Climate change and European forests: what do we know, what are the uncertainties, and what are the implications for forest management?. Journal of Environmental Management, 146: 69-83. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2014.07.030
Hanspach, J.; Schweiger, O.; Kühn, I.; Plattner, M.; Pearman, P.B.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Settele, J., 2014: Host plant availability potentially limits butterfly distributions under cold environmental conditions. Ecography, 37, 3: 301-308. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2013.00195.x
Duputié, A.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Chuine, I., 2014: Where are the wild things? Why we need better data on species distribution. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 23, 4: 457-467. doi: 10.1111/geb.12118
Carlson, B.Z.; Georges, D.; Rabatel, A.; Randin, C.F.; Renaud, J.; Delestrade, A.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Choler, P.; Thuiller, W., 2014: Accounting for tree line shift, glacier retreat and primary succession in mountain plant distribution models. Diversity and Distributions, 20, 12: 1379-1391. doi: 10.1111/ddi.12238
Maggini, R.; Lehmann, A.; Zbinden, N.E.; Zimmermann, J.; Bolliger, J.; Schröder, B.; Foppen, R.; Schmid, H.; Beniston, M.; Jenni, L., 2014: Assessing species vulnerability to climate and land use change: the case of the Swiss breeding birds. Diversity and Distributions, 20, 6: 708-719. doi: 10.1111/ddi.12207
Meier, E.S.; Dullinger, S.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Baumgartner, D.; Gattringer, A.; Hülber, K., 2014: Space matters when defining effective management for invasive plants. Diversity and Distributions, 20, 9: 1029-1043. doi: 10.1111/ddi.12201
Settele, J.; Scholes, R.; Betts, R.A.; Bunn, S.; Leadley, P.; Nepstad, D.; Overpeck, J.T.; Taboada, M.A.; Adrian, R.; Allen, C.; Anderegg, W.; Bellard, C.; Brando, P.; Chini, L.P.; Courchamp, F.; Foden, W.; Gerten, D.; Goetz, S.; ... Golding, N., 2014: Terrestrial and Inland Water Systems. In: Levy, A.N. (eds), 2014: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Working Group II Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 271-359.
Wisz, M.S.; Pottier, J.; Kissling, W.D.; Pellissier, L.; Lenoir, J.; Damgaard, C.F.; Dormann, C.F.; Forchhammer, M.C.; Grytnes, J.; Guisan, A.; Heikkinen, R.K.; Høye, T.T.; Kühn, I.; Luoto, M.; Maiorano, L.; Nilsson, M.; Normand, S.; Öckinger, E.; Schmidt, N.M.; ... Svenning, J., 2013: The role of biotic interactions in shaping distributions and realised assemblages of species: implications for species distribution modelling. Biological Reviews, 88, 1: 15-30. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-185X.2012.00235.x
Maiorano, L.; Amori, G.; Capula, M.; Falcucci, A.; Masi, M.; Montemaggiori, A.; Pottier, J.; Psomas, A.; Rondinini, C.; Russo, D.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Boitani, L.; Guisan, A., 2013: Threats from climate change to terrestrial vertebrate hotspots in Europe. PLoS One, 8, 9: e74989 (14 pp.). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0074989
Ammann, B.; Van Leeuwen, J.F.N.; Van der Knaap, W.O.; Lischke, H.; Heiri, O.; Tinner, W., 2013: Vegetation responses to rapid warming and to minor climatic fluctuations during the Late-Glacial Interstadial (GI-1) at Gerzensee (Switzerland). Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 391: 40-59. doi: 10.1016/j.palaeo.2012.07.010
Pearman, P.B.; Lavergne, S.; Roquet, C.; Wüest, R.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Thuiller, W., 2013: Phylogenetic patterns of climatic, habitat and trophic niches in a European avian assemblage. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 23, 4: 414-424. doi: 10.1111/geb.12127
Pellissier, L.; Bråthen, K.A.; Vittoz, P.; Yoccoz, N.G.; Dubuis, A.; Meier, E.S.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Randin, C.F.; Thuiller, W.; Garraud, L.; Van Es, J.; Guisan, A., 2013: Thermal niches are more conserved at cold than warm limits in arctic-alpine plant species. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 22, 8: 933-941. doi: 10.1111/geb.12057
Fitzpatrick, M.C.; Sanders, N.J.; Normand, S.; Svenning, J.; Ferrier, S.; Gove, A.D.; Dunn, R.R., 2013: Environmental and historical imprints on beta diversity: insights from variation in rates of species turnover along gradients. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological sciences, 280, 1768: 20131201 (8 pp.). doi: 10.1098/rspb.2013.1201
Zimmermann, N.E.; Gebetsroither, E.; Züger, J.; Schmatz, D.; Psomas, A., 2013: Future climate of the European alps. In: Cerbu, G.A.; Hanewinkel, M.; Gerosa, G.; Jandl, R. (eds), 2013: Management Strategies to Adapt Alpine Space Forests to Climate Change Risks. Rijeka, InTech. 257-260. doi: 10.5772/56278
Maiorano, L.; Cheddadi, R.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Pellissier, L.; Petitpierre, B.; Pottier, J.; Laborde, H.; Hurdu, B.I.; Pearman, P.B.; Psomas, A.; Singarayer, J.S.; Broennimann, O.; Vittoz, P.; Dubuis, A.; Edwards, M.E.; Binney, H.A.; Guisan, A., 2013: Building the niche through time: using 13,000 years of data to predict the effects of climate change on three tree species in Europe. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 22, 3: 302-317. doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2012.00767.x
Normand, S.; Randin, C.; Ohlemüller, R.; Bay, C.; Høye, T.T.; Kjær, E.D.; Körner, C.; Lischke, H.; Maiorano, L.; Paulsen, J.; Pearman, P.B.; Psomas, A.; Treier, U.A.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Svenning, J., 2013: A greener Greenland? Climatic potential and long-term constraints on future expansions of trees and shrubs. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 368, 1624: 20120479 (12 pp.). doi: 10.1098/rstb.2012.0479
Zimmermann, N.E.; Jandl, R.; Hanewinkel, M.; Kunstler, G.; Kölling, C.; Gasparini, P.; Breznikar, A.; Meier, E.S.; Normand, S.; Ulmer, U.; Gschwandtner, T.; Veit, H.; Naumann, M.; Falk, W.; Mellert, K.; Rizzo, M.; Skudnik, M.; ... Psomas, A., 2013: Potential future ranges of tree species in the Alps. In: Cerbu, G.A.; Jandl, R. (eds), 2013: Management Strategies to Adapt Alpine Space Forests to Climate Change Risks. Rijeka, InTech. 37-48. doi: 10.5772/56279
Alberto, F.J.; Derory, J.; Boury, C.; Frigerio, J.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Kremer, A., 2013: Imprints of natural selection along environmental gradients in phenology-related genes of Quercus petraea. Genetics, 195, 2: 495-512. doi: 10.1534/genetics.113.153783
Feurdean, A.; Bhawat, S.A.; Willis, K.J.; Birks, H.J.B.; Lischke, H.; Hickler, T., 2013: Tree migration-rates: narrowing the gap between inferred post-glacial rates and projected rates. PLoS One, 8, 8: e71797 (7 pp.). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0071797
Delzon, S.; Urli, M.; Samalens, J.; Lamy, J.; Lischke, H.; Sin, F.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Porté, A.J., 2013: Field evidence of colonisation by holm oak, at the northern margin of its distribution range, during the anthropocene period. PLoS One, 8, 11: e80443 (8 pp.). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0080443
Dawson, M.N.; Algar, A.C.; Antonelli, A.; Dávalos, L.M.; Davis, E.; Early, R.; Guisan, A.; Jansson, R.; Lessard, J.; Marske, K.A.; McGuire, J.; Stigall, A.L.; Swenson, N.G.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Gavin, D.G., 2013: An horizon scan of biogeography. Frontiers of Biogeography, 5, 2: 130-157. doi: 10.21425/F5FBG18854
Le esigenze espresse dalla popolazione sugli spazi e gli ambienti verdi in città sembrano essere ottime premesse per una natura urbana diversi cata e vitale, favorevole a molte specie di piante e animali presenti in città: Come gestire la natura in città affinché sia la popolazione che gli animali e le piante possano trarne vantaggi?
Notizie per la pratica 48
2013
Nabel, J.E.M.S.; Lischke, H., 2013: Up-scaling of spatially explicit and linked time- and space-discrete models simulating vegetation dynamics under climate change. In: Page, B.; Fleischer, A.G.; Göbel, J.; Wohlgemuth, V. (eds), 2013: EnviroInfo2013 - Environmental Informatics and Renewable Energie. Part 1. 27th International Conference on Environmental Informatics for Environmental Protection, Hamburg. 842-850.
Schattan, P.; Zappa, M.; Lischke, H.; Bernhard, L.; Thürig, E.; Diekkrüger, B., 2013: An approach for transient consideration of forest change in hydrological impact studies. In: 2013: Climate and Land Surface Changes in Hydrology, Proceedings. H<sub>01</sub>, IAHS-IAPSO-IASPEI Assembly, Gothenburg. 311-319.
Gugerli, F.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Holderegger, R., 2013: Genetische Vielfalt. Die Alpen als Barriere und Schmelztiegel. Hotspot, 12-13.
Zimmermann, N.E.; Normand, S.; Psomas, A., 2013: Climate change and range shifts in mountain plants of the European Alps and Carpathians. Acta Biologica Cracoviensia Series Botanica, 55, Suppl. 1: 18.
Scherstjanoi, M.; Kaplan, J.O.; Thürig, E.; Lischke, H., 2013: GAPPARD: a computationally efficient method of approximating gap-scale disturbance in vegetation models. Geoscientific Model Development, 6, 5: 1517-1542. doi: 10.5194/gmd-6-1517-2013
Nabel, J.E.M.S.; Zurbriggen, N.; Lischke, H., 2013: Interannual climate variability and population density thresholds can have a substantial impact on simulated tree species' migration. Ecological Modelling, 257: 88-100. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.02.015
Haag, S.; Nobis, M.P.; Krüsi, B.O., 2013: Profitieren invasive Neophyten von Flussrevitalisierungen? Untersuchungen an 16 Flüssen der Schweiz. Naturschutz und Landschaftsplanung, 45, 12: 357-364.
Lischke, H.; Von Grafenstein, U.; Ammann, B., 2013: Forest dynamics during the transition from the Oldest Dryas to the Bølling-Allerød at Gerzensee - a simulation study. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 391, B: 60-73. doi: 10.1016/j.palaeo.2012.12.001
Katuwal, H.B.; Khanal, B.; Basnet, K.; Rai, B.; Devkota, S.; Rai, S.K.; Nobis, M.; Scheidegger, C., 2013: The mammalian fauna from the Central Himalaya, Nepal. Asian Journal of Conservation Biology, 2, 1: 21-29.
Huber, R.; Rigling, A.; Bebi, P.; Brand, F.S.; Briner, S.; Buttler, A.; Elkin, C.; Gillet, F.; Grêt-Regamey, A.; Hirschi, C.; Lischke, H.; Scholz, R.W.; Seidl, R.; Spiegelberger, T.; Walz, A.; Zimmermann, W.; Bugmann, H., 2013: Sustainable land use in mountain regions under global change: synthesis across scales and disciplines. Ecology and Society, 18, 3: 36 (21 pp.). doi: 10.5751/ES-05499-180336
Briner, S.; Huber, R.; Bebi, P.; Elkin, C.; Schmatz, D.R.; Grêt-Regamey, A., 2013: Trade-offs between ecosystem services in a mountain region. Ecology and Society, 18, 3: 35 (19 pp.). doi: 10.5751/ES-05576-180335
Ammann, B.; Van Raden, U.J.; Schwander, J.; Eicher, U.; Gilli, A.; Bernasconi, S.M.; Van Leeuwen, J.F.N.; Lischke, H.; Brooks, S.J.; Heiri, O.; Nováková, K.; Van Hardenbroek, M.; Von Grafenstein, U.; Belmecheri, S.; Van der Knaap, W.O.; Magny, M.; Eugster, W.; Colombaroli, D.; Nielsen, E.; ... Wright, H.E., 2013: Responses to rapid warming at termination 1a at gerzensee (Central Europe): primary succession, albedo, soils, lake development, and ecological interactions. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 391: 111-131. doi: 10.1016/j.palaeo.2013.11.009
Nobis, M.P.; Schweingruber, F.H., 2013: Adult age of vascular plant species along an elevational land-use and climate gradient. Ecography, 36, 10: 1076-1085. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2013.00158.x
Parviainen, M.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Heikkinen, R.K.; Luoto, M., 2013: Using unclassified continuous remote sensing data to improve distribution models of red-listed plant species. Biodiversity and Conservation, 22, 8: 1731-1754. doi: 10.1007/s10531-013-0509-1
Lexer, C.; Mangili, S.; Bossolini, E.; Forest, F.; Stölting, K.N.; Pearman, P.B.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Salamin, N., 2013: 'Next generation' biogeography: towards understanding the drivers of species diversification and persistence. Journal of Biogeography, 40, 6: 1013-1022. doi: 10.1111/jbi.12076
Hanewinkel, M.; Cullmann, D.A.; Schelhaas, M.; Nabuurs, G.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2013: Climate change may cause severe loss in the economic value of European forest land. Nature Climate Change, 3, 3: 203-207. doi: 10.1038/nclimate1687
D'Amen, M.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Pearman, P.B., 2013: Conservation of phylogeographic lineages under climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 22, 1: 93-104. doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2012.00774.x
Coops, N.C.; Morsdorf, F.; Schaepman, M.E.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2013: Characterization of an alpine tree line using airborne LiDAR data and physiological modeling. Global Change Biology, 19, 12: 3808-3821. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12319
Engler, R.; Waser, L.T.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Schaub, M.; Berdos, S.; Ginzler, C.; Psomas, A., 2013: Combining ensemble modeling and remote sensing for mapping individual tree species at high spatial resolution. Forest Ecology and Management, 310: 64-73. doi: 10.1016/j.foreco.2013.07.059
Randin, C.F.; Paulsen, J.; Vitasse, Y.; Kollas, C.; Wohlgemuth, T.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Körner, C., 2013: Do the elevational limits of deciduous tree species match their thermal latitudinal limits?. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 22, 8: 913-923. doi: 10.1111/geb.12040
Hengeveld, G.; Schelhaas, M.-J.; Reyer, C.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Cullmann, D.A.; Nabuurs, G.-J., 2013: How fast can European forests adapt to a changing climate?. In: Fitzgerald, J.; Lindner, M. (eds), 2013: Adapting to Climate Change in European Forests - Results of the MOTIVE Project. Sofia, Pensoft Publishers. 80-82.
Zimmermann, N.E.; Normand, S.; Pearman, P.B.; Psomas, A., 2013: Future ranges in European tree species. In: Fitzgerald, J.; Lindner, M. (eds), 2013: Adapting to Climate Change in European Forests - Results of the MOTIVE Project. Sofia, Pensoft Publishers. 15-21.
Zimmermann, N.E.; Schmatz, D.; Psomas, A., 2013: Climate change scenarios to 2100 and implications for forest management. In: Fitzgerald, J.; Lindner, M. (eds), 2013: Adapting to Climate Change in European Forests - Results of the MOTIVE Project. Sofia, Pensoft Publishers. 9-14.
Nos exigences vis-à-vis des espaces de détente et des paysages quotidiens coïncident étonnamment bien avec les conditions qui favorisent une nature urbaine diversifiée, habitat d’un grand nombre d’animaux et de plantes: Quelle attitude adopter à l’égard de la nature en ville pour que les êtres humains, mais aussi les animaux et les plantes puissent en bénéficier?
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2012
Unsere Ansprüche an Erholungsräume und Alltagslandschaften decken sich mit den Voraussetzungen für eine vielfältige Stadtnatur als Lebensraum für eine grosse Anzahl von Tieren und Pflanzen erstaunlich gut: Wie gehen wir mit der Natur in der Stadt um, dass sowohl Menschen als auch Tiere und Pflanzen davon profitieren?
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2012
Nabel, J.E.M.S.; Zurbriggen, N.; Lischke, H., 2012: Impact of species parameter uncertainty in simulations of tree species migration with a spatially linked dynamic model. In: Seppelt, R.; Voinov, A.A.; Lange, S.; Bankamp, D. (eds), 2012: iEMSs 2012 - Managing Resources of a Limited Planet: Proceedings of the 6th Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society. 6th Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society: Managing Resources of a Limited Planet, iEMSs 2012, Leipzig. 909-916.
Wohlgemuth, T.; Brigger, A.; Gerold, P.; Laranjeiro, L.; Moretti, M.; Moser, B.; Rebetez, M.; Schmatz, D.; Schneiter, G.; Sciacca, S.; Sierro, A.; Weibel, P.; Zumbrunnen, T.; Conedera, M., 2012: Leben mit Waldbrand am Beispiel von Leuk (VS) 2003. Vierteljahrsschrift der Naturforschenden Gesellschaft in Zürich, 157, 3-4: 97-106.
Wohlgemuth, T.; Bachmann, P.; Bergamini, A.; Burnand, J.; Ginzler, C.; Keel, A.; Kessler, M.; Nobis, M.; Nyffeler, R.; Röthlisberger, J.; Spillmann, J.; Wyss, G., 2012: 173 Jahre nach Kölliker: Zeit für eine neue Flora des Kantons Zürich. Vierteljahrsschrift der Naturforschenden Gesellschaft in Zürich, 157, 1-2: 9-22.
Ohlemüller, R.; Huntley, B.; Normand, S.; Svenning, J., 2012: Potential source and sink locations for climate-driven species range shifts in Europe since the Last Glacial Maximum. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21, 2: 152-163. doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2011.00674.x
Nobis, M.P.; Traiser, C.; Roth-Nebelsick, A., 2012: Latitudinal variation in morphological traits of the genus Pinus and its relation to environmental and phylogenetic signals. Plant Ecology and Diversity, 5, 1: 1-11. doi: 10.1080/17550874.2012.687501
Zurell, D.; Grimm, V.; Rossmanith, E.; Zbinden, N.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Schröder, B., 2012: Uncertainty in predictions of range dynamics: black grouse climbing the Swiss Alps. Ecography, 35, 7: 590-603. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2011.07200.x
Schurr, F.M.; Pagel, J.; Sarmento Cabral, J.; Groeneveld, J.; Bykova, O.; O'Hara, R.B.; Hartig, F.; Kissling, W.D.; Linder, H.P.; Midgley, G.F.; Schröder, B.; Singer, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2012: How to understand species' niches and range dynamics: a demographic research agenda for biogeography. Journal of Biogeography, 39, 12: 2146-2162. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2012.02737.x
Litsios, G.; Pellissier, L.; Forest, F.; Lexer, C.; Pearman, P.B.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Salamin, N., 2012: Trophic specialization influences the rate of environmental niche evolution in damselfishes (Pomacentridae). Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological sciences, 279, 1743: 3662-3669. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2012.1140
Kunstler, G.; Lavergne, S.; Courbaud, B.; Thuiller, W.; Vieilledent, G.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Kattge, J.; Coomes, D.A., 2012: Competitive interactions between forest trees are driven by species' trait hierarchy, not phylogenetic or functional similarity: implications for forest community assembly. Ecology Letters, 15, 8: 831-840. doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01803.x
Kissling, W.D.; Dormann, C.F.; Groeneveld, J.; Hickler, T.; Kühn, I.; McInerny, G.J.; Montoya, J.M.; Römermann, C.; Schiffers, K.; Schurr, F.M.; Singer, A.; Svenning, J.; Zimmermann, N.E.; O'Hara, R.B., 2012: Towards novel approaches to modelling biotic interactions in multispecies assemblages at large spatial extents. Journal of Biogeography, 39, 12: 2163-2178. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2011.02663.x
Kaplan, J.O.; Krumhardt, K.M.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2012: The effects of land use and climate change on the carbon cycle of Europe over the past 500 years. Global Change Biology, 18, 3: 902-914. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02580.x
Gallien, L.; Douzet, R.; Pratte, S.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Thuiller, W., 2012: Invasive species distribution models - how violating the equilibrium assumption can create new insights. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21, 11: 1126-1136. doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2012.00768.x
Dullinger, S.; Gattringer, A.; Thuiler, W.; Moser, D.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Guisan, A.; Willner, W.; Plutzar, C.; Leitner, M.; Mang, T.; Caccianiga, M.; Dirnböck, T.; Ertl, S.; Fischer, A.; Lenoir, J.; Svenning, J.; Psomas, A.; Schmatz, D.R.; Silc, U.; ... Hülber, K., 2012: Extinction debt of high-mountain plants under twenty-first-century climate change. Nature Climate Change, 2, 8: 619-622. doi: 10.1038/Nclimate1514
Broennimann, O.; Fitzpatrick, M.C.; Pearman, P.B.; Petitpierre, B.; Pellissier, L.; Yoccoz, N.G.; Thuiller, W.; Fortin, M.-J.; Randin, C.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Graham, C.H.; Guisan, A., 2012: Measuring ecological niche overlap from occurrence and spatial environmental data. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21, 4: 481-497. doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2011.00698.x
Litsios, G.; Sims, C.A.; Wüest, R.O.; Pearman, P.B.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Salamin, N., 2012: Mutualism with sea anemones triggered the adaptive radiation of clownfishes. BMC Molecular Biology, 12, 1: 212 (15 pp.). doi: 10.1186/1471-2148-12-212
Taberlet, P.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Englisch, T.; Tribsch, A.; Holderegger, R.; Alvarez, N.; Niklfeld, H.; Coldea, G.; Mirek, Z.; Moilanen, A.; Ahlmer, W.; Marsan, P.A.; Bona, E.; Bovio, M.; Choler, P.; Cieślak, E.; Colli, L.; Cristea, V.; Dalmas, J.; ... IntraBioDiv Consortium, 2012: Genetic diversity in widespread species is not congruent with species richness in alpine plant communities. Ecology Letters, 15, 12: 1439-1448. doi: 10.1111/ele.12004
Meier, E.S.; Lischke, H.; Schmatz, D.R.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2012: Climate, competition and connectivity affect future migration and ranges of European trees. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21, 2: 164-178. doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2011.00669.x
Pearman, P.B.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2012: Biological indicators - species. In: Spellerberg, I.; Fogel, D.S.; Fredericks, S.E.; Butler Harrington, L.M. (eds), 2012: Measurements, indicators and research methods for sustainability. Great Barrington, Berkshire Publishing. 26-31.
Normand, S.; Ricklefs, R.E.; Skov, F.; Bladt, J.; Tackenberg, O.; Svenning, J., 2011: Postglacial migration supplements climate in determining plant species ranges in Europe. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological sciences, 278, 1725: 3644-3653. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2010.2769
Bergamini, A.; Obrist, M.K.; Nobis, M., 2011: Der artenreichste Quadratkilometer der Schweiz? Der Tag der Artenvielfalt 2010 in Mörel-Filet (VS). Bulletin de la Murithienne, 128: 7-42.
Kunstler, G.; Albert, C.H.; Courbaud, B.; Lavergne, S.; Thuiller, W.; Vieilledent, G.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Coomes, D.A., 2011: Effects of competition on tree radial-growth vary in importance but not in intensity along climatic gradients. Journal of Ecology, 99, 1: 300-312. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2745.2010.01751.x
Meier, E.S.; Edwards Jr., T.C.; Kienast, F.; Dobbertin, M.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2011: Co-occurrence patterns of trees along macro-climate gradients and their potential influence on the present and future distribution of Fagus sylvatica L. Journal of Biogeography, 38, 2: 371-382. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2010.02405.x
Svenning, J.; Fløjgaard, C.; Marske, K.A.; Nógues-Bravo, D.; Normand, S., 2011: Applications of species distribution modeling to paleobiology. Quaternary Science Reviews, 30, 21-22: 2930-2947. doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.06.012
Nobis, M., 2011: Rezension. Biologische Invasionen.. Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Forstwesen, 162, 9: 351.
Wellstein, C.; Schröder, B.; Reineking, B.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2011: Understanding species and community response to environmental change - a functional trait perspective. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 145, 1: 1-4. doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2011.06.024
Steinmann, K.; Eggenberg, S.; Wohlgemuth, T.; Linder, H.P.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2011: Niches and noise - disentangling habitat diversity and area effect on species diversity. Ecological Complexity, 8, 4: 313-319. doi: 10.1016/j.ecocom.2011.06.004
Pearman, P.B.; Guisan, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2011: Impacts of climate change on Swiss biodiversity: an indicator taxa approach. Biological Conservation, 144, 2: 866-875. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2010.11.020
Psomas, A.; Kneubühler, M.; Huber, S.; Itten, K.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2011: Hyperspectral remote sensing for estimating aboveground biomass and for exploring species richness patterns of grassland habitats. International Journal for Remote Sensing, 32, 24: 9007-9031. doi: 10.1080/01431161.2010.532172
Maiorano, L.; Falcucci, A.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Psomas, A.; Pottier, J.; Baisero, D.; Rondinini, C.; Guisan, A.; Boitani, L., 2011: The future of terrestrial mammals in the Mediterranean basin under climate change. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 366, 1578: 2681-2692. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2011.0121
Engler, R.; Randin, C.F..; Thuiller, W.; Dullinger, S.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Araújo, M.B.; Pearman, P.B.; Le Lay, G.; Piedallu, C.; Albert, C.H.; Choler, P.; Coldea, G.; De Lamo, X.; Dirnböck, T.; Gégout, J.; Gómez-García, D.; Grytnes, J.; Heegaard, E.; Høistad, F.; ... Guisan, A., 2011: 21st century climate change threatens mountain flora unequally across Europe. Global Change Biology, 17, 7: 2330-2341. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02393.x
D'Amen, M.; Bombi, P.; Pearman, P.B.; Schmatz, D.R.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Bologna, M.A., 2011: Will climate change reduce the efficacy of protected areas for amphibian conservation in Italy?. Biological Conservation, 144, 3: 989-997. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2010.11.004
Beaumont, L.J.; Pitman, A.; Perkins, S.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Yoccoz, N.G.; Thuiller, W., 2011: Impacts of climate change on the world's most exceptional ecoregions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America PNAS, 108, 6: 2306-2311. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1007217108
Goetz, S.J.; Epstein, H.E.; Bhatt, U.S.; Jia, G.J.; Kaplan, J.O.; Lischke, H.; Yu, Q.; Bunn, A.; Lloyd, A.H.; Alcarez-Segura, D.; Beck, P.S.A.; Comiso, J.J.; Raynolds, M.K.; Walker, D.A., 2011: Recent Changes in Arctic Vegetation: Satellite Observations and Simulation Model Predictions. In: Gutman, G.; Reissell, A. (eds), 2011: Eurasian Arctic Land Cover and Land Use in a Changing Climate. Dordrecht; Heidelberg, Springer. 9-36. doi: 10.1007/978-90-481-9118-5_2
Hodson, E.L.; Poulter, B.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Prigent, C.; Kaplan, J.O., 2011: The El Niño-Southern oscillation and wetland methane interannual variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 38, 8: L08810 (4 pp.). doi: 10.1029/2011GL046861
Poulter, B.; Ciais, P.; Hodson, E.; Lischke, H.; Maignan, F.; Plummer, S.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2011: Plant functional type mapping for earth system models. Geoscientific Model Development, 4, 4: 993-1010. doi: 10.5194/gmd-4-993-2011
Poulter, B.; Frank, D.C.; Hodson, E.L.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2011: Impacts of land cover and climate data selection on understanding terrestrial carbon dynamics and the CO2 airborne fraction. Biogeosciences, 8, 8: 2027-2036. doi: 10.5194/bg-8-2027-2011
Di Giulio, M.; Holderegger, R.; Nobis, M.; Righetti, A.; Senn, J.; Stofer, S., 2011: Trafic et infrastructures de transport. In: Lachat, T.; Pauli, D.; Gonseth, Y.; Klaus, G.; Scheidegger, C.; Vittoz, P.; Walter, T. (eds), 2011: Evolution de la biodiversité en Suisse depuis 1900. Avons-nous touché le fond?. Zürich, Bristol-Stiftung; Bern, Stuttgart, Wien, Haupt. 264-295.
Brang, P.; Born, J.; Augustin, S.; Küchli, C.; Pauli, B.; Thürig, E.; Wermelinger, B.; Wohlgemuth, T.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2011: Forschungsprogramm Wald und Klimawandel. Synthese der ersten Programmphase 2009-2011. Birmensdorf, Eidg. Forschungsanstalt für Wald, Schnee und Landschaft WSL; Bern, Bundesamt für Umwelt. 51 p.
Kaennel Dobbertin, M.; Nobis, M.P., 2010: Exploring research issues in selected forest journals 1979-2008. Annals of Forest Science, 67, 8: 800 (7 pp.). doi: 10.1051/forest/2010052
Walz, A.; Brand, F.; Braendle, J.; Briner, S.; Elkin, C.; Hirschi, C.; Lischke, H.; Schmatz, D.; Lang, D., 2010: Do all mountain regions react upon the same drivers of change? Or: How to customise IPCC scenarios to regional level analysis?. In: Centre for Mountain Studies, M.R.I. (eds), 2010: roceeding of the Global Change and World's Mountain Conference in Perth Scotland. Global change and world's mountain conference, Perth, Scotland, September 26-30, 2010. (3 pp.).
Landolt, E.; Bäumler, B.; Erhardt, A.; Hegg, O.; Klötzli, F.; Lämmler, W.; Nobis, M.; Rudmann-Maurer, K.; Schweingruber, F.H.; Theurillat, J.; Urmi, E.; Vust, M.; Wohlgemuth, T., 2010: Flora indicativa. Ökologische Zeigerwerte und biologische Kennzeichen zur Flora der Schweiz und der Alpen. Ecological indicators values and biological attributes of the flora of Switzerland and the Alps. Bern, Haupt. 376 p.
Zimmermann, N.E.; Edwards Jr., T.C.; Graham, C.H.; Pearman, P.B.; Svenning, J., 2010: New trends in species distribution modelling. Ecography, 33, 6: 985-989. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2010.06953.x
Avec comme référence l’incendie de forêt de Loèche, été 2003, le plus grand sinistre de ce type en Valais de ces cent dernières années, nous montrons la variété des conséquences sur la nature d’événements à ce point destructeurs. À la lumière du changement climatique annoncé, le risque d’incendie pour l’avenir est débattu, et des exemples en vue d’actions préventives sont proposés.
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2010
Das Beispiel des Waldbrands von Leuk im Sommer 2003 zeigt die vielfältigen Auswirkungen solch zerstörerischer Ereignisse auf die Natur. Mit Blick auf den Klimawandel wird das Brandrisiko in Zukunft diskutiert, und es werden Beispiele für präventives Handeln gegeben.
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2010
Lenoir, J.; Gégout, J.; Guisan, A.; Vittoz, P.; Wohlgemuth, T.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Dullinger, S.; Pauli, H.; Willner, W.; Svenning, J., 2010: Going against the flow: potential mechanisms for unexpected downslope range shifts in an warming climate. Ecography, 33, 2: 295-303. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2010.06279.x
Somodi, I.; Virágh, K.; Székely, B.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2010: Changes in predictor influence with time and with vegetation type identity in a post-abandonment situation. Basic and Applied Ecology, 11, 3: 225-233. doi: 10.1016/j.baae.2009.11.006
Pearman, P.B.; D'Amen, M.; Graham, C.H.; Thuiller, W.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2010: Within-taxon niche structure: niche conservation, divergence and predicted effects of climate change. Ecography, 33, 6: 990-1003. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2010.06443.x
Scheidegger, C.; Nobis, M.P.; Shrestha, K.K., 2010: Biodiversity and livelihood in land-use gradients in a era of climate change - outline of a Nepal-Swiss research project. Botanica Orientalis, 7: 7-17. doi: 10.3126/botor.v7i0.4368
Pellissier, L.; Brathen, K.A.; Pottier, J.; Randin, C.F.; Vittoz, P.; Dubuis, A.; Yoccoz, N.G.; Alm, T.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Guisan, A., 2010: Species distribution models reveal apparent competitive and facilitative effects of a dominant species on the distribution of tundra plants. Ecography, 33, 6: 1004-1014. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2010.06386.x
Huber, S.; Koetz, B.; Psomas, A.; Kneubuehler, M.; Schopfer, J.T.; Itten, K.I.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2010: Impact of multiangular information on empirical models to estimate canopy nitrogen concentration in mixed forest. Journal of Applied Remote Sensing, 4: 43530 (17 pp.). doi: 10.1117/1.3435334
Albert, C.H.; Yoccoz, N.G.; Edwards Jr., T.C.; Graham, C.H.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Thuiller, W., 2010: Sampling in ecology and evolution - bridging the gap between theory and practice. Ecography, 33, 6: 1028-1037. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2010.06421.x
Rammig, A.; Jonas, T.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Rixen, C., 2010: Changes in alpine plant growth under future climate conditions. Biogeosciences, 7, 6: 2013-2024. doi: 10.5194/bg-7-2013-2010
McVicar, T.R.; Van Niel, T.G.; Roderick, M.L.; Li, L.T.; Mo, X.G.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Schmatz, D.R., 2010: Observational evidence from two mountainous regions that near-surface wind speeds are declining more rapidly at higher elevations than lower elevations: 1960-2006. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, 6: L06402 (6 pp.). doi: 10.1029/2009GL042255
Meier, E.S.; Kienast, F.; Pearman, P.B.; Svenning, J.; Thuiller, W.; Araújo, M.S.; Guisan, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2010: Biotic and abiotic variables show little redundancy in explaining tree species distributions. Ecography, 33, 6: 1038-1048. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2010.06229.x
Lenoir, J.; Gégout, J.; Guisan, A.; Vittoz, P.; Wohlgemuth, T.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Dullinger, S.; Pauli, H.; Willner, W.; Grytner, J.A.; Virtanen, R.; Svenning, J., 2010: Cross-scale analysis of the region effect on vascular plant species diversity in Southern and Northern European mountain ranges. PLoS One, 5, 12: e15734 (13 pp.). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0015734
Tribsch, A.; Englisch, T.; Gugerli, F.; Holderegger, R.; Niklfeld, H.; Steinmann, K.; Thiel-Egenter, C.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Taberlet, P.; IntraBioDiv Consortium, 2010: Integrating data across biodiversity levels; the project IntraBioDiv. In: Spehn, E.M.; Körner, C. (eds), 2010: Data mining for global trends in mountain biodiversity. Boca Raton, CRC Press. 89-105.
Nobis, M., 2010: Software. In: Landolt, E.; Bäumler, B.; Erhardt, A.; Hegg, O.; Klötzli, F.; Lämmler, W.; Nobis, M.; Rudmann-Maurer, K.; Schweingruber, F.; Theurillat, J.-P.; Urmi, E.; Vust, M.; Wohlgemuth, T. (eds), 2010: Flora indicativa. Ökologische Zeigerwerte und biologische Kennzeichen zur Flora der Schweiz und der Alpen. Bern; Stuttgart; Wien, Haupt. 320.
Nobis, M., 2010: Software. In: Landolt, E.; Bäumler, B.; Erhardt, A.; Hegg, O.; Klötzli, F.; Lämmler, W.; Nobis, M.; Rudmann-Maurer, K.; Schweingruber, F.; Theurillat, J.-P.; Urmi, E.; Vust, M.; Wohlgemuth, T. (eds), 2010: Flora indicativa. Ökologische Zeigerwerte und biologische Kennzeichen zur Flora der Schweiz und der Alpen. Bern; Stuttgart; Wien, Haupt. 373.
Di Giulio, M.; Holderegger, R.; Nobis, M.; Righetti, A.; Senn, J.; Stofer, S., 2010: Verkehr und Verkehrsinfrastruktur. In: Lachat, T.; Pauli, D.; Gonseth, Y.; Klaus, G.; Scheidegger, C.; Vittoz, P.; Walter, T. (eds), 2010: Wandel der Biodiversität in der Schweiz seit 1900. Ist die Talsohle erreicht?. Zürich, Bristol-Stiftung; Bern, Stuttgart, Wien, Haupt. 266-297.
Zimmermann, N.E., 2010: Synergien nutzen: Biodiversität im Zeichen des Klimawandels. Hotspot, 18-19.
Zimmermann, N.E.; Yoccoz, N.G.; Edwards, Jr., T.C.; Meier, E.S.; Thuiller, W.; Guisan, A.; Schmatz, D.R.; Pearman, P.B., 2009: Climatic extremes improve predictions of spatial patterns of tree species. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America PNAS, 106, Suppl. 2: 19723-19728. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0901643106
Nobis, M.P.; Jaeger, J.A.G.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2009: Neophyte species richness at the landscape scale under urban sprawl and climate warming. Diversity and Distributions, 15, 6: 928-939. doi: 10.1111/j.1472-4642.2009.00610.x
Kühn, I.; Nobis, M.P.; Durka, W., 2009: Combining spatial and phylogenetic eigenvector filtering in trait analysis. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 18, 6: 745-758. doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2009.00481.x
Galley, C.; Linder, H.P.; Zimmermann, N., 2009: Pentaschistis (Poaceae) diversity in the Cape mediterranean region: habitat heterogeneity and climate stability. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 18, 5: 586-595. doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2009.00468.x
Bollmann, K.; Bergamini, A.; Senn-Irlet, B.; Nobis, M.; Duelli, P.; Scheidegger, C., 2009: Konzepte, Instrumente und Herausforderungen bei der Förderung der Biodiversität im Wald. Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Forstwesen, 160, 3: 53-67. doi: 10.3188/szf.2009.0053
Steinmann, K.; Linder, H.P.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2009: Modelling plant species richness using functional groups. Ecological Modelling, 220, 7: 962-967. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.01.006
Engler, R.; Randin, C.F.; Vittoz, P.; Czáka, T.; Beniston, M.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Guisan, A., 2009: Predicting future distributions of mountain plants under climate change: does dispersal capacity matter?. Ecography, 32, 1: 34-45. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2009.05789.x
Kaplan, J.O.; Krumhardt, K.M.; Zimmermann, N., 2009: The prehistoric and preindustrial deforestation of Europe. Quaternary Science Reviews, 28, 27-28: 3016-3034. doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.09.028
Mathys, L.; Guisan, A.; Kellenberger, T.W.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2009: Evaluating effects of spectral training data distribution on continuous field mapping performance. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, 64, 6: 665-673. doi: 10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2009.04.005
Randin, C.F.; Engler, R.; Normand, S.; Zappa, M.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Pearman, P.B.; Vittoz, P.; Thuiller, W.; Guisan, A., 2009: Climate change and plant distribution: local models predict high-elevation persistence. Global Change Biology, 15, 6: 1557-1569. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01766.x
Nobis, M., 2009: Des néophytes envahissantes présentes aussi en forêt. Forêt, 62, 5: 22-25.
Di Giulio, M.; Nobis, M., 2008: Landschaftszerschneidung und Biodiversität: Barrieren oder Ausbreitungswege?. In: 2008: Ballungsräume für Mensch und Natur. Forum für Wissen 2008, WSL Birmensdorf. 23-30.
Zimmermann, N.E.; Bugmann, H., 2008: Die Kastanie im Engadin – oder was halten Baumarten von modellierten Potenzialgebieten?. Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Forstwesen, 159, 10: 326-335. doi: 10.3188/szf.2008.0326
Wohlgemuth, T.; Nobis, M.P.; Kienast, F.; Plattner, M., 2008: Modelling vascular plant diversity at the landscape scale using systematic samples. Journal of Biogeography, 35, 7: 1226-1240. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2008.01884.x
Thuiller, W.; Albert, C.; Araujo, M.B.; Berry, P.M.; Cabeza, M.; Guisan, A.; Hickler, T.; Midgley, G.F.; Paterson, J.; Schurr, F.M.; Sykes, M.T.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2008: Predicting global change impacts on plant species' distributions: Future challenges. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics, 9: 137-152. doi: 10.1016/j.ppees.2007.09.004
Rigling, A.; Brang, P.; Bugmann, H.; Kräuchi, N.; Wohlgemuth, T.; Zimmermann, N., 2008: Klimawandel als Prüfstein für die Waldbewirtschaftung. Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Forstwesen, 159, 10: 316-325. doi: 10.3188/szf.2008.0316
Rutherford, G.N.; Bebi, P.; Edwards, P.J.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2008: Assessing land-use statistics to model land cover change in a mountainous landscape in the European Alps. Ecological Modelling, 212: 460-471. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.10.050
Pearman, P.B.; Randin, C.F.; Broennimann, O.; Vittoz, P.; Van der Knaap, W.O.; Engler, R.; Le Lay, G.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Guisan, A., 2008: Prediction of plant species distributions across six millennia. Ecology Letters, 11, 4: 357-369. doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2007.01150.x
Kneubühler, M.; Koetz, B.; Huber, S.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Schaepman, M.E., 2008: Space-based spectrodirectional measurements for the improved estimation of ecosystem variables. Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing, 34, 3: 192-205.
Huber, S.; Kneubühler, M.; Psomas, A.; Itten, K.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2008: Estimating foliar biochemistry from hyperspectral data in mixed forest canopy. Forest Ecology and Management, 256: 491-501. doi: 10.1016/j.foreco.2008.05.011
Gugerli, F.; Englisch, T.; Niklfeld, H.; Tribsch, A.; Mirek, Z.; Ronikier, M.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Holderegger, R.; Taberlet, P.; IntraBioDiv Consortium, 2008: Relationships among levels of biodiversity and the relevance of intraspecific diversity in conservation - a project synopsis. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics, 10, 4: 259-281. doi: 10.1016/j.ppees.2008.07.001
Gehrig-Fasel, J.; Guisan, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2008: Evaluating thermal treeline indicators based on air and soil temperature using an air-to-soil temperature transfer model. Ecological Modelling, 213: 345-355. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.01.003
Nobis, M., 2008: Invasive Neophyten auch im Wald?. Wald und Holz, 89, 8: 46-49.
Gehrig-Fasel, J.; Guisan, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2007: Tree line shifts in the Swiss Alps: climate change or land abandonment?. Journal of Vegetation Science, 18, 4: 571-582. doi: 10.1111/j.1654-1103.2007.tb02571.x
Zimmermann, N.E.; Edwards Jr., T.C.; Moisen, G.G.; Frescino, T.S.; Blackard, J.A., 2007: Remote sensing-based predictors improve distribution models of rare, early successional and broadleaf tree species in Utah. Journal of Applied Ecology, 44, 5: 1057-1067. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2007.01348.x
Thornton, P.E.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2007: An improved canopy integration scheme for a land surface model with prognostic canopy structure. Journal of Climate, 20: 3902-3923. doi: 10.1175/Jcli4222.1
Rickebusch, S.; Lischke, H.; Bugmann, H.; Guisan, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2007: Understanding the low-temperature limitations to forest growth through calibration of a forest dynamics model with tree-ring data. Forest Ecology and Management, 246: 251-263. doi: 10.1016/j.foreco.2007.04.030
Shiyatov, S.G.; Terent'ev, M.M.; Fomin, V.V.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2007: Altitudinal and Horizontal Shifts of the Upper Boundaries of Open and Closed Forests in the Polar Urals in the 20th Century. Russian Journal of Ecology, 38, 4: 223-227. doi: 10.1134/S1067413607040017
Rutherford, G.N.; Guisan, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2007: Evaluating sampling strategies and logistic regression methods for modelling complex land cover changes. Journal of Applied Ecology, 44, 2: 414-424. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2007.01281.x
Rickebusch, S.; Gellrich, M.; Lischke, H.; Guisan, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2007: Combining probabilistic land-use change and tree population dynamics modelling to simulate responses in mountain forests. Ecological Modelling, 209: 157-168. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.06.027
Leyk, S.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2007: Improving land change detection based on uncertain survey maps using fuzzy sets. Landscape Ecology, 22, 2: 257-272. doi: 10.1007/s10980-006-9021-2
Guisan, A.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Elith, J.; Graham, C.H.; Phillips, S.; Peterson, A.T., 2007: What matters for predicting the occurrences of trees: techniques, data, or species' characteristics?. Ecological Monographs, 77, 4: 615-630. doi: 10.1890/06-1060.1
Gellrich, M.; Baur, P.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2007: Natural forest regrowth as a proxy variable for agricultural land abandonment in the Swiss mountains: a spatial statistical model based on geophysical and socio-economic variables. Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 12, 4: 269-278. doi: 10.1007/s10666-006-9062-6
Gellrich, M.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2007: Investigating the regional-scale pattern of agricultural land abandonment in the Swiss mountains: A spatial statistical modelling approach. Landscape and Urban Planning, 79: 65-76. doi: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2006.03.004
Gellrich, M.; Baur, P.; Koch, B.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2007: Agricultural land abandonment and natural forest re-growth in the Swiss mountains: A spatially explicit economic analysis. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 118: 93-108. doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2006.05.001
Epstein, H.E.; Kaplan, J.O.; Lischke, H.; Yu, Q., 2007: Simulating Future Changes in Arctic and Subarctic Vegetation. Computing in Science & Engineering, 13-23. doi: 10.1109/Mcse.2007.84
Lischke, H.; Bolliger, J.; Seppelt, R., 2007: Dynamic Spatio-temporal Landscape Models. In: Kienast, F.; Wildi, O.; Ghosh, S. (eds), 2007: A Changing World. Challenges for Landscape Research. Dordrecht, Springer. 273-296.
Lischke, H.; Löffler, T.J.; Thornton, P.E.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2007: Model Up-scaling in landscape research. In: Kienast, F.; Wildi, O.; Ghosh, S. (eds), 2007: A Changing World. Challenges for Landscape Research. Dordrecht, Springer. 249-272.
Zimmermann, N.E.; Washington-Allen, R.A.; Ramsey, R.D.; Schaepman, M.E.; Mathys, L.; Kötz, B.; Kneubühler, M.; Edwards, T.C., 2007: Modern remote sensing for environmental monitoring of landscape states and trajectories. In: Kienast, F.; Wildi, O.; Ghosh, S. (eds), 2007: A Changing World. Challenges for Landscape Research. Dordrecht, Springer. 65-91.
Zimmermann, N.; Bolliger, J.; Gehrig-Fasel, J.; Guisan, A.; Kienast, F.; Lischke, H.; Rickebusch, S.; Wohlgemuth, T., 2006: Wo wachsen die Bäume in 100 Jahren?. In: 2006: Wald und Klimawandel. Forum für Wissen 2006, WSL Birmensdorf. 63-71.
Wohlgemuth, T.; Bugmann, H.; Lischke, H.; Tinner, W., 2006: Wie rasch ändert sich die Waldvegetation als Folge von raschen Klimaänderungen?. In: 2006: Wald und Klimawandel. Forum für Wissen 2006, WSL Birmensdorf. 7-16.
Schmid, S.; Thürig, E.; Kaufmann, E.; Lischke, H.; Bugmann, H., 2006: Effect of forest management on future carbon pools and fluxes: A model comparison. Forest Ecology and Management, 237: 65-82. doi: 10.1016/j.foreco.2006.09.028
Randin, C.F.; Dirnböck, T.; Dullinger, S.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Zappa, M.; Guisan, A., 2006: Are niche-based species distribution models transferable in space?. Journal of Biogeography, 33: 1689-1703. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2006.01466.x
Moisen, G.G.; Freeman, E.A.; Blackard, J.A.; Frescino, T.S.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Edwards, T.C.Jr., 2006: Predicting tree species presence and basal area in Utah: A comparison of stochastic gradient boosting, generalized additive models, and tree-based methods. Ecological Modelling, 199: 176-187. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.05.021
Mathys, L.; Ginzler, C.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Brassel, P.; Wildi, O., 2006: Sensitivity assessment on continuous landscape variables to classify a discrete forest area. Forest Ecology and Management, 229, 1-3: 111-119. doi: 10.1016/j.foreco.2006.03.012
Lischke, H.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Bolliger, J.; Rickebusch, S.; Löffler, T.J., 2006: TreeMig: A forest-landscape model for simulating spatio-temporal patterns from stand to landscape scale. Ecological Modelling, 199: 409-420. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.11.046
Mathys, L.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Zbinden, N.; Suter, W., 2006: Identifying habitat suitability for hazel grouse Bonasa bonasia at the landscape scale. Wildlife Biology, 12, 4: 357-366. doi: 10.2981/0909-6396(2006)12[357:Ihsfhg]2.0.Co;2
Maggini, R.; Lehmann, A.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Guisan, A., 2006: Improving generalized regression analysis for the spatial prediction of forest communities. Journal of Biogeography, 33, 10: 1729-1749. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2006.01465.x
Guisan, A.; Broennimann, O.; Engler, R.; Vust, M.; Yoccoz, N.G.; Lehmann, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2006: Using niche-based models to improve the sampling of rare specie. Conservation Biology, 20, 2: 501-511. doi: 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2006.00354.x
Elith, J.; Graham, C.H.; Anderson, R.P.; Dudík, M.; Ferrier, S.; Guisan, A.; Hijmans, R.J.; Huettmann, F.; Leathwick, J.R.; Lehmann, A.; Li, J.; Lohmann, L.G.; Loiselle, B.A.; Manion, G.; Moritz, C.; Nakamura, M.; Nakazawa, Y.; Overton, J.McC.; Townsend Peterson, A.; ... Zimmermann, N.E., 2006: Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography, 29, 2: 129-151. doi: 10.1111/j.2006.0906-7590.04596.x
Edwards, T.C.Jr.; Cutler, D.R.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Geiser, L.; Moisen, G.G., 2006: Effects of sample survey design on the accuracy of classification tree models in species distribution models. Ecological Modelling, 199: 1322-141. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.05.016
Cunningham, C.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Stöckli, V.; Bugmann, H., 2006: Growth response of Norway spruce saplings in two forest gaps in the Swiss Alps to artificial browsing, infection with black snow mold, and competition by ground vegetation. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 36, 11: 2782-2793. doi: 10.1139/X06-156
Cunningham, C.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Stöckli, V.; Bugmann, H., 2006: Growth of Norway spruce (Picea abies L.) saplings in subalpine forests in Switzerland: Does spring climate matter?. Forest Ecology and Management, 228: 19-32. doi: 10.1016/j.foreco.2006.02.052
Lischke, H.; Löffler, T., 2006: Intra-specific density dependence is required to maintain species diversity in spatio-temporal forest simulations with reproduction. Ecological Modelling, 198: 341-361. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.05.005
Heiri, C.; Bugmann, H.; Tinner, W.; Heiri, O.; Lischke, H., 2006: A model-based reconstruction of Holocene treeline dynamics in the Central Swiss Alps. Journal of Ecology, 94, 1: 206-216. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2745.2005.01072.x
Neilson, R.P.; Pitelka, L.F.; Solomon, A.M.; Nathan, R.; Midgley, G.F.; Fragoso, J.M.V.; Lischke, H.; Thompson, K., 2005: Forecasting regional to global plant migration in response to climate change. BioScience, 55, 9: 749-759. doi: 10.1641/0006-3568(2005)055[0749:Frtgpm]2.0.Co;2
Edwards, T.C.; Cutler, D.R.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Geiser, L.; Alegria, J., 2005: Model-based stratifications for enhancing the detection of rare ecological events. Ecology, 86, 5: 1081-1090. doi: 10.1890/04-0608
Jolly, W.M.; Dobbertin, M.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2005: Divergent vegetation growth responses to the 2003 heat wave in the Swiss Alps. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L18409: 4 pp.. doi: 10.1029/2005GL023252
Dobbertin, M.; Hilker, N.; Rebetez, M.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Wohlgemuth, T.; Rigling, A., 2005: The upward shift in altitude of pine mistletoe (Viscum album ssp. austriacum) in Switzerland - the result of climate warming?. International Journal of Biometeorology, 50: 40-47. doi: 10.1007/s00484-005-0263-5
Dobbertin, M.; Mayer, P.; Wohlgemuth, T.; Feldmeyer-Christe, E.; Graf, U.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Rigling, A., 2005: The Decline of Pinus sylvestris L. Forests in the Swiss Rhone Valley - a Result of Drought Stress?. Phyton, 45, 4: 153-156.
Schwarz, M.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2005: A new GLM-based method for mapping tree cover continuous fields using regional MODIS reflectance data. Remote Sensing of Environment, 95: 428-443. doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2004.12.010
Lischke, H., 2005: Modeling tree species migration in the Alps during the Holocene: What creates complexity?. Ecological Complexity, 2, 2: 159-174. doi: 10.1016/j.ecocom.2004.11.009
Nobis, M.; Hunziker, U., 2005: Automatic thresholding for hemispherical canopy-photographs based on edge detection. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 128: 243-250. doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2004.10.002
Bolliger, J.; Lischke, H.; Green, D.G., 2005: Simulating the spatial and temporal dynamics of landscapes using generic and complex models. Ecological Complexity, 2, 2: 107-116. doi: 10.1016/j.ecocom.2004.11.005
Schwarz, M.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Waser, L.T., 2004: MODIS based continuous fields of tree cover using generalized linear models. In: 2004: 2004 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium proceedings. Science for society: exploring and managing a changing planet. IGARSS 2004 Vol. 7. 2004 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium. IGARSS 2004, Anchorage, AK, USA. 2377-2380. doi: 10.1109/IGARSS.2004.1369766
Lischke, H., 2004: Simulation of Dynamic Tree Species Patterns in the Alpine Region of Valais (Switzerland) during the Holocene. In: Pahl-Wostl, C.; Schmidt, S.; Rizzoliand, A.E.; Jakeman, A.J. (eds), 2004: Complexity and Integrated Resources Management. Transactions vol. 2. 2nd Niennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, Osnabrück. 908-913.
Leyk, S.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2004: A predictive uncertainty model for field-based survey maps using generalized linear models. In: Egenhofer, M.; Freska, C.; Harvey, M. (eds), 2004: Geographic information science. Proceedings. Third International Conference, GI Science 2004, Adelphi. 191-205. doi: 10.1007/978-3-540-30231-5_13
Angst, C.; Bürgi, A.; Duelli, P.; Egli, S.; Heiniger, U.; Hindenlang, K.; Kuhn, M.; Lässig, R.; Lüscher, P.; Moser, B.; Nobis, M.; Polomski, J.; Reich, T.; Wermelinger, B.; Wohlgemuth, T., 2004: Waldentwicklung nach Windwurf in tieferen Lagen der Schweiz 2000-2003. Schlussbericht eines Projektes im Rahmen des Programms "Lothar Evaluations- und Grundlagenprojekte". Birmensdorf, Eidg. Forschungsanstalt WSL. 98 p.
Powell, J.A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2004: Multiscale analysis of active seed dispersal contributes to resolving Reid's paradox. Ecology, 85, 2: 490-506. doi: 10.1890/02-0535
Cherubini, P.; Gärtner, H.; Esper, J.; Kaennel Dobbertin, M.; Kaiser, K.F.; Rigling, A.; Treydte, K.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Bräker, O.U., 2004: Jahrringe als Archiv für interdisziplinäre Umweltforschung. Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Forstwesen, 155, 6: 162-168. doi: 10.3188/szf.2004.0162
Feldmeyer-Christe, E.; Ghosh, S.; Wildi, O.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Podani, J. (eds), 2004: Modern approaches in vegetation monitoring. State of the Art in Vegetation Monitoring Approaches, Birmensdorf, Switzerland, March 24-26, 2003. Birmensdorf, Switzerland, Akadémiai Kiado. 143 p.
Mathys, L.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Guisan, A., 2004: Spatial pattern of forest resources in a multifunctional landscape. International Archives of Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, 36, 8/W2: 340-342.
Kienast, F.; Wildi, O.; Zimmermann, N., 2004: Mögliche Auswirkungen der Klimaänderung auf die Baumartenverbreitung in der Schweiz. Antworten mit Hilfe von Modellen. Local Land and Soil News: The Bulletin of the European Land and Soil Alliance, 7-8.
Schaepman, M.E.; Koetz, B.; Schaepman-Strub, G.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Itten, K.I., 2004: Quantitative retrieval of biogeophysical characteristics using imaging spectroscopy - a mountain forest case study. Community Ecology, 5, 1: 93-104. doi: 10.1556/ComEc.5.2004.1.9
Wildi, O.; Feldmeyer-Christe, E.; Ghosh, S.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2004: Comments on vegetation monitoring approaches. Community Ecology, 5, 1: 1-5. doi: 10.1556/ComEc.5.2004.1.1
Nobis, M.; Wohlgemuth, T., 2004: Trend words in ecological core journals over the last 25 years (1978-2002). Oikos, 106, 2: 411-421. doi: 10.1111/j.0030-1299.2004.13496.x
Schwarz, M.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Wildi, O.; Kienast, F., 2004: Erfassen kontinuierlicher Bodenbedeckungsdaten anhand von MODIS Daten in der Schweiz. Botanica Helvetica, 114, 2: 151-167.
Siemens, D.H.; Lischke, H.; Maggiulli, N.; Schürch, S.; Roy, B.A., 2003: Cost of resistance and tolerance under competition: the defense-stress benefit hypothesis. Evolutionary Ecology, 17, 3: 247-263. doi: 10.1023/A:1025517229934
Waser, L.; Zimmermann, N.; Schwarz, M., 2003: Landcoverdaten unter der Lupe. Eignung von MODIS-Landcoverdaten und ähnlichen Produkten anderer Satelliten zur Bewertung Landschafts-relevanter Fragen im Alpenraum - ein Vergleich mit nationalen Forstinventuren. Informationsblatt Landschaft, 56: 1-4.
Zehm, A.; Nobis, M.; Schwabe, A., 2003: Multiparameter analysis of vertical vegetation structure based on digital image processing. Flora, 198: 142-160. doi: 10.1078/0367-2530-00086
Wohlgemuth, T.; Eggenberg, S.; Favre, P.; Hollenstein, H.-U.; König Urmi, K.; Pauli, D.; Zimmermann, N., 2002: Farn- und Blütenpflanzen. In: Hänggi, A.; Müller, J.P. (eds), 2002: Eine 24-Stunden Aktion zur Erfassung der Biodiversität auf der Alp Flix (Graubünden): Methoden und Resultate. 15-17.
Lischke, H.; Zierl, B., 2002: Feedback between structured vegetation and soil water in a changing climate: A simulation study. In: Beniston, M. (eds), 2002: Climatic Change: Implications for the Hydrological Cycle and for Water Management. Dordrecht; Boston, Kluwer Academic. 349-377.
Zierl, B.; Lischke, H., 2002: Trends in drought in Swiss forested ecosystems. In: Beniston, M. (eds), 2002: Climatic Change: Implications for the Hydrological Cycle and for Water Management. Dordrecht; Boston, Kluwer Academic. 329-347.
Keller, F.; Lischke, H.; Mathis, T.; Möhl, A.; Wick, L.; Ammann, B.; Kienast, F., 2002: Effects of climate, fire, and humans on forest dynamics: forest simulations compared to the palaeological record. Ecological Modelling, 152: 109-127. doi: 10.1016/S0304-3800(02)00011-X
Lischke, H.; Lotter, F.; Fischlin, A., 2002: Untangling a Holocene pollen record with forest model simulations and independent climate data. Ecological Modelling, 150: 1-21. doi: 10.1016/S0304-3800(02)00013-3
Waser, L.; Zimmermann, N.; Keller, M.; Schwarz, M., 2001: Rapid assessmant of land cover in the European Alps - Evaluation of MODIS MOD 12 data. In: Belward, A.; Binaghi, E.; Brivio, P.A.; Lanzarone, G.A.T.G. (eds), 2001: International Workshop on Geo-Spatial Knowledge Processing for Natural Resource Management. International Workshop on Geo-Spatial Knowledge Processing for Natural Resource Management, Varese. 376-381.
Price, D.T.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Van der Meer, P.J.; Lexer, M.J.; Leadly, P.; Jorritsma, I.T.M.; Schaber, J.; Clark, D.F.; Lasch, P.; McNulty, S.; Wu, J.; Smith, B., 2001: Regeneration in gap models: Priority issues for studying forest responses to climate change. Climatic Change, 51, 3-4: 475-508. doi: 10.1023/A:1012579107129
Brassel, P.; Lischke, H. (eds), 2001: Swiss National Forest Inventory: methods and models of the second assessment. Birmensdorf, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL. 336 p.
Zimmermann, N., 2001: TERRA/MODIS - Ein umfassendes, satellitengestütztes Erdbeobachtungssystem. Informationsblatt Landschaft, 49: 3-4.
Lischke, H., 2001: Propagation of data uncertainty through models. In: Brassel, P.; Lischke, H. (eds), 2001: Swiss National Forest Inventory: Methods and Models of the Second Assessment. Birmensdorf, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL. 306-320.
Lischke, H.; Brassel, P., 2001: Derived Variables and Models. In: Brassel, P.; Lischke, H. (eds), 2001: Swiss National Forest Inventory: Methods and Models of the Second Assessment. Birmensdorf, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL. 151-161.
Zimmermann, N., 2001: Umfassender Blick auf die Erde. Informationsfülle Modis fördert das wissenschaftliche Überwachen von Landschaften. Aargauer Zeitung, 24.
Badeck, F.-W.; Lischke, H.; Bugmann, H.; Hickler, T.; Hönninger, K.; Lasch, P.; Lexer, M.J.; Mouillot, F.; Schaber, J.; Smith, B., 2001: Tree species composition in european pristine forests: comparison of stand data to model predictions. Climatic Change, 51: 307-347. doi: 10.1023/A:1012577612155
Schloeder, C.A.; Zimmermann, N.E.; Jacobs, M.J., 2001: Comparison of Methods for Interpolating Soil Properties Using Limited Data. Soil Science Society of America Journal, 65, 2: 470-479.
Lischke, H., 2001: New developments in forest modeling: convergence between applied and theoretical approaches. Natural Resource Modeling, 14, 1: 71-102.
Löffler, T.J.; Lischke, H., 2001: Incorporation and Influence of Variability in an Aggregated Forest Model. Natural Resource Modeling, 14, 1: 103-137.
Mathis, T.; Keller, F.; Möhl, A.; Wick, L.; Lischke, H., 2001: Influence of Climate, Species Immigration and Men on Forest Dynamics in Northern Italy, from 6000 Cal. BP to Today. Advances in Global Change Research, 9: 195-208.
Bolliger, J.; Kienast, F.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2000: Risks of global warming on montane and subalpine forests in Switzerland - a modeling study. Regional Environmental Change, 1, 3-4: 99-111. doi: 10.1007/s101130000018
Kienast, F.; Zimmermann, N.; Wildi, O., 2000: Scénarios d'évolution des aires de répartition des principles essences forestières en fonction des scénarios de changement climatique. In: Rebetez, M.; Combe, J. (eds), 2000: Quelle sylviculture pour les climats à venir?. Journée thématique de l'Antenne romande du WSL, Lausanne, November 28, 2000. 21-26.
Guisan, A.; Zimmermann, N.E., 2000: Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecological Modelling, 135, 2-3: 147-186. doi: 10.1016/S0304-3800(00)00354-9
Kienast, F.; Zimmermann, N.; Wildi, O., 2000: Évolutions possibles des aires de répartition des principales essences forestières en fonction des scénarios de changement climatique. Revue Forestiere Francaise, 52: 119-126.
Zimmermann, N.E.; Kienast, F., 1999: Predictive mapping of alpine grasslands in Switzerland: species versus community approach. Journal of Vegetation Science, 10, 4: 469-482. doi: 10.2307/3237182
Duelli, P.; Obrist, M.K.; Schmatz, D.R., 1999: Biodiversity evaluation in agricultural landscapes: above-ground insects. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 74: 33-64. doi: 10.1016/S0167-8809(99)00029-8
Kienast, F.; Wildi, O.; Brzeziecki, B.; Zimmermann, N.; Lemm, R., 1998: Klimaänderung und mögliche langfristige Auswirkungen auf die Vegetation der Schweiz. Schlussbericht NFP 31. Zürich, vdf, Hochschulverlag an der ETH. 71 p.
Lischke, H.; Guisan, A.; Fischlin, A.; Williams, J.; Bugmann, H., 1998: Vegetation responses to climate change in the Alps: modeling Studies. In: Cebon, P.; Dahinden, U.; Davies, H.; Imboden, D.; Jaeger, C. (eds), 1998: Views from the Alps. Regional Perspectives on Climate Change. Cambridge, Massachusetts; London, MIT Press. 309-350.
Lischke, H., 1998: Simulationsstudien der Reaktion auf einen schnellen Klimawechsel. Zusammensetzung der Arten im Schweizer Wald. Kompetenz-Zentrum Holz, 6, 2: 12-14.
Lischke, H.; Löffler, T.J.; Fischlin, A., 1998: Aggregation of Individual Trees and Patches in Forest Succession Models: Capturing Variability with Height Structured, Random, Spatial Distributions. Theoretical Population Biology, 54: 213-226. doi: 10.1006/tpbi.1998.1378
Kienast, F.; Wildi, O.; Lemm, R.; Zimmermann, N., 1997: Autre climat - Autre végétation? Les réponses données par la modélisation. Arguments de la recherche, 13: 2-8.
Kienast, F.; Wildi, O.; Lemm, R.; Zimmermann, N., 1997: Klimaveränderung - Vegetationsveränderung? Antworten mit Hilfe von Modellen. Argumente aus der Forschung, 13: 2-8.
Lischke, H.; Löffler, T.J.; Fischlin, A., 1997: Calculating temperature dependence over long time periods: a comparison and study of methods. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 86: 169-181. doi: 10.1016/S0168-1923(97)00015-4
Lischke, H.; Löffler, T.J.; Fischlin, A., 1997: Calculating temperature dependence over long time periods: derivation of methods. Ecological Modelling, 98: 105-122. doi: 10.1016/S0304-3800(96)01907-2
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