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Analysis of climate related risks and chances in Switzerland


As a basis for the national climate adaptation strategy in Switzerland a climate risks analysis is prepared. The analysis contributes to identify the most important climate related risks and chances, assess them by a consistent method and compare them across sectors. In terms of the concept of an integrated risk management the findings answer the question “what could happen?”. The expected results are the basis to prioritize fields of action and to plan measures to implement the national climate adaptation strategy.

Pilot Project (2010-2011)

Commissioned by the Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN) a method for the integrated analysis and assessment of risks and chances related to climate change has been developed. The method can be applied to various sectors: health, agriculture, forest, energy, tourism, infrastructure and build environment, water, biodiversity as well as open and green spaces. As part of the pilot project the method was tested in the Cities of Davos and Zurich.

Regional Case Study (2011-2013) 

The first results about climate related risks and chances in Switzerland are supposed to be available in 2014. In this respect the method developed in the pilot study is going to be applied in several regional case studies representing the variety of landscapes and climate change impacts in Switzerland. By applying the method in the Canton of Aargau it is the first time in Switzerland to comprehensively analyze and assess climate risks in a larger area. The Canton of Aargau represents the Swiss Plateau and marks the first component of the nationwide climate risk analysis.

  • Analysis of climate related risks and chances in the Canton of Aargau: final report (in German) [PDF]


Project Team 

Ernst Basler + Partner 

  • Niels Holthausen (Project Lead)
  • Sabine Perch-Nielsen
  • Peter Locher 
  • Lilian Blaser


Group Regional Economics and Development:

Group Avalanche Dynamics and Risk Management:

Federal Office for the Environment BAFU

  • Pamela Köllner-Heck
  • Roland Hohmann
  • Thomas Probst
  • Martina Zoller